TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c28,051$15,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,141.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over46c27,453$12,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,724.6617852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under56c19,348$10,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,833.651,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over44c11,803$5,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,668.2129740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cec…4043backed Over44c5,345$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.931747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under56c5,000$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Over44c4,545$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.4523236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Over44c4,261$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.976056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under57c1,821$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.082,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under57c1,525$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.0561750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over44c1,440$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.7321044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Over43c1,073$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.187444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over42c1,007$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.0132042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Over41c1,001$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.655259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56030950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over43c999.96$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.981,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over44c944.23$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.4533245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over44c944.23$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.4536543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c819.97$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under59c569.51$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.012,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over44c543$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0821333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.2522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under57c499.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9937754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under54c437.33$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.151,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under5c392.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over47c349.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under54c344.78$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.971,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over43c299.96$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.981,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under53c295.36$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5436448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under56c293.89$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.162,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over43c268.92$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.772,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed Over45c249.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.494643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under17c233.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9966932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa058…d8febacked Over45c218.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd56c…bdd5backed Under60c217.6$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.562646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Under7c214.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11852455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over44c199.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.991,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under57c188.76$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.141,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.640649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over41c156$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.042,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under57c98.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1365253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.246247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31c…d21cbacked Over42c89.79$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.83812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-70.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over45c88.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.863,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under56c80.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0566056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under57c72.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4521957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over41c69.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.981,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.514750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf073…4c15backed Over42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295939%23 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over46c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under53c47.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3815751%80 W · 77 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under54c46.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.791,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under56c45.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over36c37.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.834327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x206b…5162backed Under57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.077354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0742755.5%237 W · 190 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0727750.9%141 W · 136 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0720156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0715855.7%88 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0715151%77 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.078957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0732055.9%179 W · 141 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0723449.1%115 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016149.7%80 W · 81 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193a…2dfabacked Under56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under53c34.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4825857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over43c30.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2317240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Under53c29.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8927663%174 W · 102 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Under53c29.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8922957.6%132 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under53c27.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7832158.3%187 W · 134 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Under55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511640.5%47 W · 69 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under56c27.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1348154.9%264 W · 217 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb96…ea06backed Over44c24.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.997844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.