TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf073…4c15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Weather, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5939%23 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$811.64
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.3
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.12
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.19
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.45
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Noni Madueke: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$762
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.5
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$91
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.39
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$71.4
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Mexico leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.71
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+129%+$84.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$386.21
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.9
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.99
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$174.76
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.86
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$145
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.09
All 7 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.3
Wimbledon WTA: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.