Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e5792401085856790c60868629d257bbf59062b7832e5180ef5ffd8cc6fcdff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $976,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $987,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $976,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 334,307$82,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,608.06 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 261,719$198,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,323.29 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 75c | 123,026$92,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,986.84 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 25c | 119,847$30,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,540.82 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 25c | 99,999$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,999.8 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 26c | 88,926$23,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,120.74 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 74c | 60,000$44,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.99 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 25c | 50,000$12,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,694.73 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 32,500$24,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,306.08 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 75c | 26,864$20,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.68 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 26,180$19,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,677.41 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 25,346$18,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,458 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 22,340$17,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.63 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 21,095$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 75c | 19,083$14,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.65 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 74c | 15,400$11,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 75c | 14,295$10,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.82 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 26c | 13,392$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.91 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 75c | 13,074$9,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.43 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…4a14backed No | 74c | 11,955$8,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 25c | 11,020$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.82 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…a483backed No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2233…cb7ebacked No | 74c | 9,000$6,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked No | 74c | 7,865$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.89 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 7,513$5,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.67 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 7,144$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.32 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 74c | 6,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 25c | 5,410$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.29 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 75c | 5,391$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.86 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 75c | 4,823$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.77 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 75c | 4,641$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.31 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 76c | 4,307$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.53 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…aea9backed Yes | 1c | 4,199$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 74c | 4,094$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.43 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 4,092$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.1 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 79c | 3,499$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.7 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 76c | 3,163$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.66 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 26c | 2,226$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.76 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 75c | 1,986$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.08 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 1,803$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.36 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 74c | 1,717$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.11 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,714$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.89 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 74c | 1,665$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.63 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 74c | 1,342$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.6 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…b076backed Yes | 20c | 1,259$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 1,208$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.54 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,188$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 74c | 1,153$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.65 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 75c | 1,050$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 74c | 1,015$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.9 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 14c | 999.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 17c | 965.84$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 15c | 953.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Yes | 22c | 945.59$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 5c | 926.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 910$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.43 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 74c | 785.67$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 75c | 779.26$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 22c | 769.86$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 13c | 730.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 15c | 678$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 24c | 603.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 22c | 599.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 25c | 554.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 75c | 550$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 74c | 545$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 23c | 530.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 76c | 507.89$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 74c | 507.79$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 6c | 490$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Yes | 25c | 481.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 20c | 450.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…383abacked Yes | 24c | 423.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…65fabacked Yes | 25c | 420.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 75c | 409.33$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…ba4abacked No | 75c | 407.21$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa801…7310backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…8c93backed Yes | 25c | 391.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 25c | 388$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico leading at halftime?this page
- England leading at halftime?Yes won
- Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.