Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a0ff3123516b9d685fc1c7795b89b79e87d2922d25a08b77ce49ef70892fa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 35,383$17,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,154.41 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 48c | 25,752$12,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,428.92 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 24,631$12,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,861.57 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 24,067$12,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,623.31 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 22,390$16,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.04 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 17,192$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,248.54 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 13,159$5,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,898.16 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…289abacked Yes | 49c | 12,760$6,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,252.34 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 6,572$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.97 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 18c | 6,104$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.96 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 49c | 5,097$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.3 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 46c | 4,771$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.43 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Yes | 72c | 3,981$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.68 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,799$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.64 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 3,597$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 51c | 3,036$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.2 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,970$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.81 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 13c | 2,715$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,539$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.03 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,477$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.81 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed Yes | 60c | 2,203$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 243 | 41.2%100 W · 143 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 31c | 1,978$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.9 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 13c | 1,883$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 68c | 1,695$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.12 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.98 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 48c | 1,438$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.4 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…6704backed Yes | 63c | 1,351$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 8c | 1,323$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 48c | 1,211$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.22 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 1,209$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.61 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,174$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…0dc0backed Yes | 3c | 1,172$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 4c | 1,106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 53c | 1,100$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 10c | 936.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Yes | 57c | 907.83$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 38c | 833$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.54 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 52c | 807.71$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Yes | 49c | 801.2$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.59 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 5c | 800$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 48c | 761.81$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.67 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 69c | 735$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…798abacked Yes | 55c | 721.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 6c | 709.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 6c | 696.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363f…e5bfbacked Yes | 8c | 678.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 657.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Yes | 25c | 650$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 48c | 645.17$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.37 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 16c | 525.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 56c | 518.57$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a2cebacked Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 40c | 458.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 12c | 447.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…52b6backed Yes | 49c | 430$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…b249backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 52c | 407.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…db19backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 51c | 369.87$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…d45fbacked Yes | 57c | 349.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 46c | 323.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 51.8%118 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 44c | 319.38$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.05 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 318.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 29c | 313.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.14 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…c31dbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 52c | 300.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…1239backed Yes | 11c | 283.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 62c | 280.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.97 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…e34cbacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 49c | 259.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 52c | 245$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 5c | 225.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 43c | 225$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…da73backed Yes | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?this page
- England leading at halftime?Yes won
- Mexico leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.