TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3b00…52ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT7331.5%23 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+58.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+279%+$478.5
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$179
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$216
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.5
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.09
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$261
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.84
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$273
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+1,244%+$714.52
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+371%+$1,181.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$45.5
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.7
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilaganbacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$360
Bogota: Tristan McCormick vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Pedro Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Liege: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Luca Staehelibacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Contrexeville: Julia Grabher vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.4
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Wimbledon WTA: Completed Match: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Wimbledon ATP: Completed Match: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Wimbledon WTA: Completed Match: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Milan: Francisco Comesana vs Daniel Rinconbacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.34
ITF Wuning: Max Purcell vs Joshua Charltonbacked Max Purcell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.7
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs ex-Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 8 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick19cpaid+170.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Texas Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.