CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aec6d26cf11dbb39a81b489130cf5f3775cf8310ebaedb10b6dafbdc270b9c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 20c | 2,091$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.62 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Over | 11c | 1,800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Over | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed Over | 7c | 1,624$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Over | 14c | 1,550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Over | 14c | 1,550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…b918backed Over | 15c | 1,250$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…7005backed Over | 1c | 1,248$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…d10fbacked Over | 9c | 1,099$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 74c | 952.75$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.96 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 71c | 628.8$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Over | 56c | 537.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 48c | 480.06$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.82 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 44c | 441.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 37c | 431.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 49c | 300.2$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 290.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…1e6abacked Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Over | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 52c | 192.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 53c | 190.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 49c | 183$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 176.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Over | 48c | 174.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 47c | 160.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 49c | 147$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 131.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…5862backed Over | 53c | 125.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 20c | 112.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 110.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 34c | 104.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 51c | 103.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 321 | 58.3%187 W · 134 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 75c | 98.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Over | 49c | 80.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 52c | 75.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Over | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 79.3%46 W · 12 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 57.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…7beabacked Over | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…8970backed Over | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 50c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 50c | 50.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 51c | 49.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 64c | 47.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 382 | 69.4%265 W · 117 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Over | 54c | 46.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…6613backed Over | 55c | 45.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 48.8%120 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Under | 64c | 40.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | +15.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…2721backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 49c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Under | 58c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 285 | 61.1%174 W · 111 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…6555backed Over | 50c | 20.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…98f9backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Under | 78c | 19.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 182 | 81.3%148 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 68c | 16.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageBIG won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)B8 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)BIG won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.