TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof B8, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$893,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$865,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $893,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe40e…9770backed B852c75,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,999.8517951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked B813c66,784$8,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,379.2363157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked BIG59c60,000$35,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,699.951861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad6…464cbacked B80c57,318$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.481618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed BIG47c51,587$24,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,341.0310850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed B852c38,100$20,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00133343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked B853c36,000$19,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,079.9914145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked BIG48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,60075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked B853c23,117$12,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,192.144250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked B853c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.9576058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed B814c19,500$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.9912627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed B853c18,706$9,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,913.973641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked BIG47c18,469$8,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,738.1821655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed BIG48c17,000$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8408043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked B80c16,547$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked B852c14,000$7,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,279.9822129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed BIG48c13,537$6,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,039.4525355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked BIG47c12,818$6,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,735.129148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BIG70c12,807$8,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.31,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8f…3ce9backed B81c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed BIG47c11,379$5,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,030.841266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+49.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed B853c11,000$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,83050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed BIG48c10,702$5,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,565.0817554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed B853c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3009550.5%48 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked BIG47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30020248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed BIG47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9216449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked B829c9,740$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.638358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8448…bacdbacked B853c9,122$4,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,834.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked BIG47c8,307$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,402.8336152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked BIG76c8,195$6,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.1340137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked B853c7,886$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.5764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed BIG48c7,511$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,931.9529449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed B853c6,920$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.623949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed B823c6,754$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.41,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BIG47c6,500$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked BIG48c6,387$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,321.351,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed BIG48c6,247$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.1884958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed BIG70c6,142$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.1921854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B835c5,702$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.471,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed BIG48c5,700$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.511633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed B841c5,640$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.241,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked B844c5,200$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29622449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed BIG49c5,200$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6526144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed BIG70c5,128$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.47459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BIG48c5,059$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.1166851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BIG48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed BIG48c4,965$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.5848240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed B827c4,956$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.034,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed BIG47c4,702$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.687855.1%43 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BIG48c4,535$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.8297040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG47c4,504$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.097,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked B853c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed BIG48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.992045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed B828c3,751$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.882,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked B842c3,553$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50032348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab2e…2014backed B851c3,226$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.384341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed B844c3,192$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.6855236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed BIG73c3,187$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.9312348.8%60 W · 63 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed BIG48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6257152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked BIG48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56092456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed B852c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9937946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG65c2,938$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.481,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BIG47c2,928$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.6647147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked B837c2,863$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.861,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed BIG48c2,844$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.886041.7%25 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed B852c2,788$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4509158.2%53 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed BIG47c2,786$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.9214846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed B829c2,699$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.752227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed B848c2,573$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.5724262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked B817c2,257$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.173,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed BIG73c2,156$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.863357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B834c2,050$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.315,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked BIG47c2,035$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.535641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed B82c2,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31220%0 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed BIG47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked BIG52c2,000$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.919346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BIG48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed B853c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed B853c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked B837c1,805$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.9863038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked B82c1,800$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3680%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcae8…63e6backed B82c1,800$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362524%6 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick14cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked BIG48c1,620$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.414853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed B853c1,598$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.112154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed BIG47c1,581$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.0438841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed B852c1,580$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.5711843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed BIG38c1,548$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.3824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…d555backed B833c1,517$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.833933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed B81c1,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1338312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed B838c1,500$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed BIG52c1,469$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.3289046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed BIG53c1,416$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.9437440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed B853c1,400$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BIG47c1,400$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed B82c1,392$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed B849c1,365$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.931,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed BIG47c1,358$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+56.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BIG74c1,340$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.521,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed B852c1,303$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.7812441.1%51 W · 73 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked B852c1,300$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67619546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.