CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff157b342c81b4691645d7dca23cab390094819606e0f992442e6e1a25a1f34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof B8, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed B8 | 29c | 2,084$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.38 | 557 | 36.3%202 W · 355 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed BIG | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed B8 | 2c | 1,863$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked BIG | 71c | 1,738$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.38 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked B8 | 29c | 1,636$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.5 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG | 72c | 1,027$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked B8 | 32c | 709.97$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 78c | 669.72$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 28c | 636$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed B8 | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked B8 | 30c | 570.59$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 303 | 38.9%118 W · 185 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BIG | 55c | 520$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked BIG | 70c | 496.2$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked B8 | 22c | 463.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed B8 | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed BIG | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 394 | 54.3%214 W · 180 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BIG | 71c | 360.48$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…9b43backed B8 | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed B8 | 33c | 288.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked B8 | 28c | 246.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked BIG | 71c | 245.2$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 279 | 54.1%151 W · 128 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked B8 | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked BIG | 71c | 209.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed B8 | 29c | 202.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked B8 | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked B8 | 28c | 153.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BIG | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked B8 | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked B8 | 26c | 78.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed B8 | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked BIG | 73c | 72.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed B8 | 24c | 69.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed BIG | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed BIG | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked B8 | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked B8 | 23c | 56.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked BIG | 54c | 55.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed BIG | 67c | 47.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked BIG | 70c | 42.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked BIG | 76c | 41.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed BIG | 72c | 34.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed BIG | 73c | 34.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed BIG | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed BIG | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed BIG | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 243 | 63%153 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed BIG | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed BIG | 59c | 18.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked BIG | 76c | 15.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed BIG | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageBIG won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)B8 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)BIG won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.