TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe28c…ffb3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick8cpaid+805.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,673Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$3,177
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$30.06
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$606.66
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$528.62
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$588
Switzerland to score first vs. Algeria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$167
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$588
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+89.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braunschweig: Marvin Moeller vs Benito Sanchez Martinezbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Djokovicbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liege: Federico Coria vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iasi: Tomas Barrios vs Ilia Simakinbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nottingham 3: Filippo Romano vs Max Basingbacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liege: Francesco Forti vs Jack Logebacked Francesco Forti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$530.05
Set 4 Winner: Dimitrov vs Ferybacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 1 Winner: Keys vs Noskovabacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 2 Winner: Hurkacz vs Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Amstelveen: Pieter De Lange vs Jakub Nicodbacked Jakub Nicod · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Set 3 Winner: Tiafoe vs Bublikbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$167
Troyes: Calvin Hemery vs Marvin Moellerbacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 3 Winner: Khachanov vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set 1 Winner: Eala vs Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set 2 Winner: Jodar vs Mochizukibacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set 3 Winner: Mensik vs Dimitrovbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set 2 Winner: Osorio vs Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Choinskibacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Diallo vs. Sonego: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT220%0 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.27
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Arch - Map 2 Winnerbacked Arch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Aunkere vs Team shoke (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsbacked Team Aunkere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked ex-Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs ODDIK (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 22 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-92%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs X-CAST - Map 1 Winnerbacked X-CAST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Çilekler (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,225.73
Valorant: University War vs 9z Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked University War · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs REBORN - Map 2 Winnerbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Fennel vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 2 Winnerbacked Crest Gaming Zst · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs 555 - Map 4 Winnerbacked 555 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsbacked Riddle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Riddle vs IGZIST - Map 1 Winnerbacked Riddle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Map Handicap: LYON (-1.5) vs STREAMER ARENA (+1.5)backed STREAMER ARENA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Valorant: FOKUS vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$167
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+29%+$247
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+29%+$247
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$777
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$367
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 17.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$503.73
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Habibis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.