TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Nottingham 3: Filippo Romano vs Max Basing

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Max Basingof Filippo Romano, Max Basing
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Filippo Romano48c18,135$8,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,788.0874439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Max Basing51c12,228$6,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,997.1611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Filippo Romano1c9,847$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.471,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Filippo Romano7c2,866$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.594,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Filippo Romano7c2,193$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.162,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Max Basing51c1,859$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.0653043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Basing51c1,715$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.374,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Max Basing55c1,525$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.7922647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Max Basing46c1,140$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.2452557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Max Basing28c1,077$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.6938931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Filippo Romano54c1,045$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.614,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Filippo Romano2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+89.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Filippo Romano60c980.01$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.538,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Basing46c969.31$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.613,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e74…b3a7backed Max Basing45c670.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Max Basing29c650.12$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.919,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Filippo Romano49c612.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014133.3%47 W · 94 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Max Basing44c599.97$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.027,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Max Basing41c560.74$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.41,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Filippo Romano74c536.52$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.514,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Max Basing24c533.65$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.9159151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Filippo Romano71c519.63$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.318,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Max Basing43c501.12$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9685250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa781…8745backed Filippo Romano6c485$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3411942%50 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Filippo Romano58c478.61$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.567,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Filippo Romano58c469.24$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.382,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Max Basing34c466.64$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.021,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Filippo Romano54c446.49$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5753657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Filippo Romano47c419.37$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0782958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Filippo Romano66c408.19$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.523,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Filippo Romano18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Max Basing39c392.82$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.35,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Filippo Romano54c373.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Filippo Romano55c362.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Filippo Romano60c346.59$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3787337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Filippo Romano67c338.74$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.162,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eef…28adbacked Filippo Romano34c329.41$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Filippo Romano58c310$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2617436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Filippo Romano62c295.61$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.842,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Max Basing44c269.56$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.081,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Max Basing34c266.95$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.184,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Filippo Romano77c254.34$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.576,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Filippo Romano28c253.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3452355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Max Basing57c249.45$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.455,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Basing42c248.08$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.128,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Max Basing52c241.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6144751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Max Basing49c225.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.71,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Filippo Romano50c223$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.838749.4%43 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Max Basing45c221.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.24949%24 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+205.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Basing51c220.46$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.446,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Max Basing41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11811443.9%50 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Max Basing56c199.26$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0785449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Max Basing44c191.6$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8144758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Filippo Romano54c185.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39ce…e2bdbacked Filippo Romano55c180.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013056.2%73 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Filippo Romano80c176.01$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1221447.2%101 W · 113 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…2ac6backed Filippo Romano71c165.06$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7913661.8%84 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Filippo Romano51c162.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Filippo Romano74c162$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.431,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Max Basing77c155$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.22,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Max Basing33c152.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6332726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Filippo Romano54c152$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0447651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Filippo Romano75c147.18$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.561,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Max Basing41c145.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4857845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Max Basing52c145.43$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.862,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Filippo Romano51c133$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.379646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Filippo Romano78c123.62$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.451,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa11…650bbacked Filippo Romano68c122.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847512%9 W · 66 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Max Basing47c122$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2830040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd2…87f4backed Max Basing47c122$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2815838%60 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Filippo Romano61c121.41$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.067374%54 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfbf…39e1backed Filippo Romano42c119.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Filippo Romano56c119$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2332952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Filippo Romano77c116.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8447274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Max Basing22c114.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7210816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Max Basing51c113.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.863,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Max Basing71c110.6$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1133855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Max Basing18c109$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3825336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Max Basing41c108.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.122,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Max Basing32c107.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4810246.1%47 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Max Basing45c107$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.586162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Max Basing40c103.45$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.261,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Filippo Romano61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.491,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Max Basing61c98.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4289663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Filippo Romano52c97.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9948152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b5…2408backed Max Basing40c97.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.59728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick18cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Filippo Romano31c96.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.462,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Max Basing41c95.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.213,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8f8…c055backed Filippo Romano43c93.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.381136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6be…a9a7backed Max Basing34c88.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5313441.8%56 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1c…a566backed Max Basing54c86.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.954645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Filippo Romano28c85.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.311,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Filippo Romano61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Max Basing61c79.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8437255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Max Basing44c77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.022,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Filippo Romano59c75.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5130353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Max Basing25c75.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.351,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Filippo Romano35c73.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.71,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Filippo Romano49c71.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3539469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Max Basing40c68.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2462549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.