TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf8f8…c055

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92%+$37.08
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$5.1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+231%+$36.24
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$38.12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+311.6%+$33.11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$19.7
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.28
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$15.46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+275.2%+$29.34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$18.19
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$16.82
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.98
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+106%+$31.06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+184%+$57.79
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$24.54
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+99%+$9.95
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$14.38
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.05
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.04
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$29.68
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.24
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$33.09
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.89
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$11.62
Contrexeville: Elina Avanesyan vs Alicia Herrero Linanabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.21
Contrexeville: Alice Tubello vs Yufei Renbacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$11.53
Trieste: Oleg Prihodko vs Alex Barrenabacked Oleg Prihodko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Bastad: Sinja Kraus vs Claire Liubacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$24.76
Trieste: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.85
Nottingham 3: Filippo Romano vs Max Basingbacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$30.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$3.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.