TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Argentinaof Argentina, Switzerland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,403,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,744,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,403,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Switzerland23c1,664,783$386,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386,448.977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Switzerland25c610,578$149,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,591.75749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina79c469,020$368,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,177.768,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7583…4df2backed Switzerland24c452,127$110,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,0002040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…59bfbacked Argentina75c411,084$309,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,515.741154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf67…fe3dbacked Argentina76c407,863$307,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,911.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Switzerland25c395,624$98,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,108.419948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Switzerland24c380,190$92,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,473.6574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Argentina71c374,212$264,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,786.395451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Argentina75c368,787$277,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,992.424667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Switzerland25c339,625$83,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,231.313046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed Argentina76c300,000$226,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,357.225967.8%40 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Switzerland27c241,730$65,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,361.944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Switzerland25c238,763$59,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,384.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Switzerland25c207,662$51,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,942.16048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb451…d7b3backed Switzerland25c198,076$50,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,014.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Argentina78c191,644$150,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,643.6416947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Switzerland26c189,751$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Argentina76c189,665$143,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,056.5524526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Switzerland16c187,757$29,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,887.6923540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Argentina76c155,822$118,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,249.3517452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Argentina75c150,238$112,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,424.851,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked Switzerland25c147,730$36,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,557.443718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Switzerland7c141,649$9,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,564.731827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Switzerland25c141,169$35,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,031.952661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed Switzerland14c136,452$19,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,702.522733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Argentina78c136,075$105,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,297.0510959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Switzerland26c127,970$32,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,771.1956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Argentina78c127,505$99,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,681.8437223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Switzerland13c127,202$16,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,358.771,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Switzerland25c122,501$30,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,545.751,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Switzerland2c121,012$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.3728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Argentina78c110,846$86,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,874.618740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Argentina74c105,801$78,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,801.0532429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Switzerland24c105,687$25,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,027.682,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Switzerland25c100,000$24,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,75042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Switzerland25c100,000$24,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,7504753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Switzerland25c100,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Switzerland24c99,999$24,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,249.7720724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Switzerland25c99,998$24,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,832.935240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Switzerland27c99,693$26,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,540.926524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafd…2964backed Switzerland17c99,610$17,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,001.611118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-70.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked Switzerland25c95,911$23,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,833.117343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Switzerland32c94,793$30,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,658.2244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Argentina77c94,345$72,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,585.58063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Argentina75c86,900$65,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,319.7413725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Switzerland2c78,020$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.0325821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Switzerland31c75,402$23,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,419.0370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Switzerland18c71,347$12,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,681.0515844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Switzerland24c70,469$16,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,911.255322.6%12 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Argentina71c70,000$49,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,162.391,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ced…eef5backed Argentina76c67,961$51,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,480.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f47…d66ebacked Argentina75c67,755$50,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,271.624566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Argentina75c66,890$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,889.6311645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Argentina72c63,000$45,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,35516927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Switzerland25c61,321$15,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,416.137345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe94…8a3dbacked Argentina76c60,000$45,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,700.022147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Switzerland25c60,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.965119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Switzerland25c58,475$14,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,875.5429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Argentina75c56,984$42,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,245.923941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Switzerland25c56,168$14,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,084.2650243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed Argentina76c55,079$41,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,356.641190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick67cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd604…bc8abacked Switzerland30c54,567$16,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,152.281533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd10…a804backed Argentina75c54,157$40,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,403.952630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Argentina79c53,000$41,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,372.4721444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Switzerland26c52,644$13,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,811.2310251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Argentina76c51,527$38,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,621.0417443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Switzerland3c50,105$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.220839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Argentina76c50,000$37,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,2504436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Switzerland25c50,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,25025038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Switzerland3c50,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Switzerland11c50,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9722229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Switzerland24c50,000$12,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,124.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Switzerland24c49,999$12,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,124.8119252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Switzerland25c49,999$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,499.813330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0cc…aafcbacked Argentina75c49,991$37,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,620.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0210…4debbacked Argentina75c49,592$37,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,359.261747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Switzerland25c49,000$12,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,276.4648441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Switzerland19c48,585$9,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,144.3236939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Switzerland21c47,619$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9925753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Switzerland32c46,998$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0008135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Switzerland22c46,820$10,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,270.234134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Switzerland26c46,274$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,799.7918738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Switzerland25c45,560$11,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,389.966114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Switzerland25c45,500$11,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,463.5847144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Switzerland11c45,432$5,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,222.531,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe7f2…2523backed Switzerland32c44,568$14,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,186.697432.4%24 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd133…ef27backed Argentina75c42,209$31,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,380.2413842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a18…f4a9backed Switzerland17c42,200$7,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,177.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb632…e435backed Switzerland0c40,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x620c…4baebacked Switzerland25c40,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.982867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Argentina77c37,899$29,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,790.4231945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Switzerland24c37,737$9,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,151.143638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Switzerland5c36,993$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…d2b1backed Argentina75c36,120$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,120.41060%6 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7656…d6dcbacked Switzerland27c36,050$9,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,815.691127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Switzerland25c35,142$8,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,807.8547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8da…f944backed Switzerland26c34,703$8,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,862.741631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Switzerland34c32,678$11,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,117.8736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Switzerland25c32,584$7,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,983.0553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.