TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,027 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86f4…bd70backed Under39c1,640$636 inWon+$1,004.276056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under40c1,110$444 inWon+$665.8653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c1,090$654 inLost-$654.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Over61c1,000$610 inLost-$6106759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under36c500.08$180 inWon+$320.0519250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a98…bbd7backed Over64c500$320 inLost-$3201346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over62c336.08$208 inLost-$208.251,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under40c321.77$127 inWon+$194.452,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Over61c270.29$165 inLost-$164.8812056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Over61c245.9$150 inLost-$15028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26aa…56d4backed Over59c226.92$135 inLost-$134.953461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3396…2448backed Over65c199.98$129 inLost-$129.157746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5415…2c97backed Over63c158.89$100 inLost-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under37c148.89$55 inWon+$93.858049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over63c126.01$80 inLost-$808274.4%61 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Under38c103.82$39 inWon+$64.372231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over64c81.33$52 inLost-$51.883,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Over63c55.56$35 inLost-$3510952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Over58c50.98$30 inLost-$29.5723944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over51c42.75$22 inLost-$21.78453.6%45 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7e4a…7a46backed Over61c40.98$25 inLost-$256152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over28c40.07$11 inLost-$11.2245145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0d8…23d0backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Under37c30$11 inWon+$18.92441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Over63c19.41$12 inLost-$12.321051.4%108 W · 102 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.