TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,427,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,478,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,427,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa235…34bbbacked Over21c499,999$102,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,749.852524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over20c25,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over21c25,000$5,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,337.4812810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Over19c23,200$4,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.5514250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under80c22,692$18,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,580.8526841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over22c22,096$4,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,795.932552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c21,116$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.9551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under80c19,655$15,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.1866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under76c14,829$11,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.553,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over26c13,500$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,493.4220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under80c13,054$10,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.811,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over12c12,052$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.341,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under78c12,008$9,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.882,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed Over25c11,200$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7722254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Over21c10,596$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.5210251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec37…3645backed Over22c8,703$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8932119%4 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c7,658$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.32,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under78c7,473$5,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.091,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over22c7,283$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.6738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over22c6,640$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45f…4e8dbacked Over25c6,301$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.352846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under73c6,107$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.3341331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over2c5,789$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.682,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over22c5,555$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.132029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over7c5,307$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over21c5,296$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.7551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Under78c5,140$4,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.8510653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x897b…a2b7backed Over22c5,137$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.274344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0507549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x569e…bc28backed Over22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over17c4,891$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.4774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a6b…6704backed Under67c4,627$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.441573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under79c4,003$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.641,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over21c4,000$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8459150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over18c3,828$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70119329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c3,809$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.663,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Under67c3,739$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2257856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over21c3,731$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.741,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over22c3,487$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.72,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over22c3,150$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.1360511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over18c2,970$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9436250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over22c2,885$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.746445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Over24c2,740$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.457447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over23c2,668$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.12138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under65c2,639$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.512475%18 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over18c2,638$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.22,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Under79c2,540$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.6811641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over14c2,535$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.9937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Under79c2,528$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6610949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Over22c2,299$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over20c2,188$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.041,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under78c2,152$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.091,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over22c2,115$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under78c2,000$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43511755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6811360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over21c1,860$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under78c1,820$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.425857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under78c1,797$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.761,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under78c1,728$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.343,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cde…020fbacked Over21c1,562$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…2065backed Under64c1,551$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.351540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under77c1,531$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.8639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0aa…ee4cbacked Under69c1,453$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.636150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over21c1,344$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Over19c1,340$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7321738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3e…bcadbacked Under68c1,323$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.432382.6%19 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a38…ab6dbacked Under80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over15c1,200$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1777338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over20c1,160$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Over21c1,116$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408143.2%35 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over21c1,114$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8736031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under79c1,112$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9877433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Under77c1,106$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6623944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over16c1,029$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2110729%31 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bca…835dbacked Under79c1,011$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.236241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under73c1,000$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.7528164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x028a…f485backed Under67c1,000$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3354050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Over22c1,000$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21513112.2%16 W · 115 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Under67c999.99$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.256863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over22c965.52$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over21c940.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over22c919.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330a…0e45backed Over22c919.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010838%41 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over15c904.11$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.341,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff1a…ab18backed Over6c895.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501926.3%5 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Over18c887.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.849727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Over22c887.36$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19311934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over29c843.04$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.851,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over15c837.4$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.931,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dee…bbbcbacked Over36c827.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under79c800$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17217052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Over21c800$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16824045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under72c790$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.929450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Under73c757.2$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.26473.4%47 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Under67c743.49$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4926438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Over22c731.03$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4430…541fbacked Over10c679.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.299337.6%35 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9f…e21cbacked Under76c643.45$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8310654.7%58 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over21c641.06$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4343826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.