Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf993e4cec8b08c0b76e52e16b4d26327f1aacd87c37e7189d5acac8e0b97d7b6

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $811,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $979,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $811,906 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	10c	106,161$10,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,611.91	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	11c	90,956$9,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,657.51	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	10c	38,939$3,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,865.57	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	10c	38,504$3,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,746.34	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Under	10c	24,975$2,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,372.77	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Under	10c	20,740$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980.25	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under	9c	18,767$1,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,671.85	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	10c	11,471$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.02	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under	11c	11,091$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.74	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	9c	8,922$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.19	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Under	9c	6,651$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.78	180	27.8%50 W · 130 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	10c	5,020$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.6	306	26.5%81 W · 225 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under	10c	4,878$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	132	23.5%31 W · 101 L	-9.2wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe075…a98cbacked Under	11c	4,516$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under	1c	4,352$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	213	14.1%30 W · 183 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under	10c	4,164$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a1…569cbacked Under	10c	3,864$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.14	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Under	9c	3,017$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.78	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	10c	2,810$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.02	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under	10c	2,000$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	246	26%64 W · 182 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	337	40.4%136 W · 201 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	10c	1,969$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.36	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under	11c	1,860$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	122	24.6%30 W · 92 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under	11c	1,842$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed Under	10c	1,744$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4078…eed8backed Under	10c	1,586$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.59	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under	10c	1,524$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa425…a8bbbacked Under	9c	1,338$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.4	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+6.1wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under	9c	1,089$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.42	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb6…8c80backed Under	10c	1,026$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under	10c	1,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	561	51%286 W · 275 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x517b…50b7backed Under	10c	1,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under	9c	981.92$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.37	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Under	10c	938.37$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.11	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under	9c	799.97$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	10c	714.46$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.91	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under	9c	629$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.76	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3b…f353backed Under	10c	520$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.7	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	-31%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under	10c	519.97$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.35	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Under	10c	512.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Under	10c	511.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.85	167	47.3%79 W · 88 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	10c	499.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under	10c	436$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.6	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Under	9c	420.32$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Under	10c	380.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under	10c	345.73$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.45	197	34.5%68 W · 129 L	-12.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Under	9c	328.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cd…2589backed Under	10c	285.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa105…71ccbacked Under	10c	285.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under	9c	277.77$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Under	9c	270.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-4.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ccb…05b3backed Under	10c	256.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.05	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	285	45.3%129 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	9c	219.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.56	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Under	10c	205.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+41%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	11c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	294	50%147 W · 147 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	10c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.43	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56aa…c754backed Under	10c	199.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	161	47.2%76 W · 85 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b7…04b2backed Under	10c	188.92$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e80…6c17backed Under	9c	178.95$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31bb…64a8backed Under	10c	178.3$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.83	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ccf…9e87backed Under	10c	161.52$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Under	9c	159.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	10c	140$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked Under	9c	133.44$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	10c	129.24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	436	53.7%234 W · 202 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	10c	120$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Under	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5this page
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event