TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,031
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,031 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b16…9281backed Over9c218,740$20,582 inLost-$20,581.65911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-81.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over8c12,406$992 inLost-$992.4646223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over8c8,601$703 inLost-$702.552,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over9c2,111$190 inLost-$19032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over14c1,720$237 inLost-$237.042,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over11c1,591$172 inLost-$172.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Over9c1,444$130 inLost-$1304613%6 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over8c1,234$99 inLost-$98.735020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over9c1,069$97 inLost-$97.1351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over8c694.27$55 inLost-$55.371,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over14c597.73$84 inLost-$83.682,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over9c591.99$53 inLost-$53.281,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over10c492.18$50 inLost-$50.4359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over8c437.5$35 inLost-$3522919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over9c357.24$33 inLost-$33.4671939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed Over13c300$39 inLost-$391827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over8c300$23 inLost-$2329813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948e…44d1backed Over8c250$20 inLost-$204920.4%10 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over8c245.4$20 inLost-$19.5717747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over9c240$22 inLost-$21.614323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over17c200$34 inLost-$3429347.4%139 W · 154 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Over17c199.99$34 inLost-$3415621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over28c150$41 inLost-$41.381,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over9c137.22$12 inLost-$12.331,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd311…61b4backed Over9c131.1$12 inLost-$124825%12 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+110.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x373f…36fcbacked Over9c128.67$12 inLost-$11.581118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5a…275bbacked Over10c100$10 inLost-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over28c39$11 inLost-$11.081,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under68c27$18 inWon+$8.642,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.