Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20f32e9daf45af5142db1adfe40e11c8de19a9d807ff0d26dc85344e74bea2d5

Rebuilt 25 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Switzerlandof Argentina, Switzerland
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,659,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,680,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,659,048 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 824 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Switzerland	70c	270,438$188,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,075.97	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Switzerland	71c	246,070$173,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,361.98	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Argentina	30c	166,667$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina	33c	140,832$46,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,906.23	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Switzerland	69c	113,383$78,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,677.85	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7656…d6dcbacked Argentina	30c	69,709$21,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,261.32	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Argentina	29c	51,641$14,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,966.11	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Argentina	40c	34,649$13,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,859.57	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Argentina	35c	31,460$11,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,057.98	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina	30c	29,909$8,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,972.81	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Switzerland	70c	25,000$17,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,624.96	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Argentina	30c	22,894$6,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,927.28	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Switzerland	56c	21,641$12,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,467.99	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Argentina	31c	17,751$5,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,414	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Switzerland	65c	16,946$10,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,980.24	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Argentina	11c	14,859$1,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,587.63	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked Switzerland	72c	13,513$9,787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,725.92	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Switzerland	69c	13,227$9,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,039.09	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Argentina	30c	13,102$3,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,993.23	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Argentina	21c	12,606$2,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,628.52	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Switzerland	69c	12,153$8,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,777.51	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Argentina	30c	12,112$3,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,677.5	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Switzerland	70c	11,402$7,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,477.7	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Argentina	31c	11,000$3,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,436.58	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Argentina	41c	10,113$4,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,159.58	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Argentina	30c	10,100$3,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,029.99	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Argentina	30c	9,250$2,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,796.63	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Argentina	39c	9,045$3,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,555.33	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Argentina	30c	8,888$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.7	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Argentina	30c	8,626$2,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600.64	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Argentina	30c	8,551$2,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,607.98	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd83d…2e99backed Argentina	30c	8,470$2,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,554.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Argentina	30c	8,264$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Argentina	30c	8,197$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b076backed Argentina	26c	8,121$2,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,139.25	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Argentina	45c	8,091$3,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,665.76	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Argentina	42c	7,644$3,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,175.22	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Argentina	30c	7,616$2,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,298.22	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Argentina	4c	7,585$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.67	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Switzerland	70c	7,168$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,168.44	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+86%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Switzerland	60c	7,058$4,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,856.24	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Argentina	31c	6,910$2,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,107.47	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd7…8131backed Argentina	30c	6,700$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Switzerland	70c	6,638$4,623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,015.22	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Argentina	30c	6,610$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Argentina	30c	6,557$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Argentina	18c	6,453$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.16	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Argentina	30c	6,019$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,778.19	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Switzerland	70c	6,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Switzerland	59c	5,649$3,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,298.17	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Switzerland	70c	5,629$3,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,681.73	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Argentina	30c	5,503$1,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,657.72	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Argentina	28c	5,430$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	175	27.4%48 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Argentina	30c	5,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Argentina	30c	4,800$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Argentina	10c	4,718$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.79	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Argentina	30c	4,648$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.46	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Argentina	6c	4,444$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.42	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Switzerland	74c	4,064$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…05e8backed Argentina	0c	4,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3f…e87cbacked Argentina	30c	4,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Argentina	30c	4,000$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.98	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Argentina	30c	3,785$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135.55	245	55.1%135 W · 110 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Switzerland	70c	3,750$2,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,143.74	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Switzerland	62c	3,720$2,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,424.29	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Switzerland	54c	3,683$2,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,676.49	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Argentina	27c	3,573$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.56	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Switzerland	70c	3,550$2,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.02	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Argentina	30c	3,410$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Switzerland	58c	3,394$1,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,432.66	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed Argentina	30c	3,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8d…908ebacked Argentina	30c	3,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Switzerland	70c	3,329$2,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.5	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Argentina	30c	3,279$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Argentina	30c	3,273$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed Switzerland	60c	3,273$1,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320.38	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Argentina	31c	3,252$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	163	19.6%32 W · 131 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Argentina	30c	3,150$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ea…3f18backed Argentina	31c	3,142$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.26	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	28cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Argentina	31c	3,122$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Argentina	31c	3,108$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.94	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked Argentina	43c	3,100$1,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.75	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Switzerland	70c	3,000$2,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f5c…9353backed Argentina	31c	3,000$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.5	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Argentina	35c	3,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	160	41.3%66 W · 94 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Switzerland	70c	2,751$1,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.23	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Argentina	36c	2,740$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	214	42.5%91 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Argentina	32c	2,714$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.96	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Switzerland	70c	2,620$1,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.1	258	57.4%148 W · 110 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Switzerland	70c	2,496$1,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.41	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Argentina	30c	2,496$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.13	224	36.6%82 W · 142 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a77…505abacked Switzerland	70c	2,494$1,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.32	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x307b…3bd2backed Argentina	40c	2,482$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Switzerland	77c	2,466$1,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.59	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Argentina	30c	2,400$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	144	63.2%91 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Switzerland	63c	2,388$1,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.52	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Argentina	30c	2,274$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.26	275	43.6%120 W · 155 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Switzerland	70c	2,239$1,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.9	79	62%49 W · 30 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Switzerland	70c	2,208$1,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.4	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Argentina	45c	2,198$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)this page
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event