TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Argentinaof Switzerland, Argentina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,859 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed Switzerland1c41,000$410 inLost-$41029740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Switzerland1c28,749$274 inLost-$274.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Switzerland1c13,598$123 inLost-$122.9960511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Switzerland0c12,826$30 inLost-$29.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64bf…9393backed Switzerland1c9,326$90 inLost-$90.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Switzerland1c8,218$74 inLost-$73.9721333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Switzerland1c5,937$52 inLost-$52.516831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Switzerland1c5,912$60 inLost-$59.623236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Switzerland1c5,395$49 inLost-$49.1921044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…4371backed Switzerland1c4,028$35 inLost-$351030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Switzerland1c3,976$35 inLost-$34.5372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Switzerland1c3,312$33 inLost-$33.1233245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…eaa6backed Switzerland1c2,893$30 inLost-$304615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Switzerland1c2,484$25 inLost-$24.847444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Switzerland1c1,448$15 inLost-$15.1584738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Switzerland1c1,004$10 inLost-$10.0417919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed Switzerland1c1,000$10 inLost-$10759.3%7 W · 68 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.