Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22664144d593b33ba4eb7612fe262dc5d6c7f77174ee366ba47eace65be978b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Over | 4c | 75,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 3c | 19,173$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.06 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 4c | 14,118$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.07 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 3c | 9,101$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.46 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 5c | 8,611$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.79 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 7,855$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Over | 3c | 6,594$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 5,558$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 4c | 5,251$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…b180backed Over | 4c | 4,334$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 4c | 4,244$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.63 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Over | 4c | 3,732$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 4c | 3,269$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Over | 3c | 3,250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…7c86backed Over | 2c | 3,205$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 1c | 2,982$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 3c | 2,919$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 4c | 2,696$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Over | 4c | 2,600$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 2c | 2,433$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 4c | 2,374$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 4c | 2,306$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 4c | 2,197$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 4c | 2,177$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 4c | 2,166$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 4c | 1,983$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Over | 4c | 1,888$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 3c | 1,829$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 4c | 1,450$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…aca5backed Over | 4c | 1,115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 4c | 1,047$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 3c | 954.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 3c | 913.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 2c | 900$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…31abbacked Over | 3c | 735.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Over | 4c | 693.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 197 | 34.5%68 W · 129 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 3c | 585$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…c069backed Over | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 3c | 550$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…6f2bbacked Over | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Over | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 3c | 465$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 3c | 423.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…fb29backed Over | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5this page
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.