TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$487,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes37c35,652$13,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,191.3313330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Yes56c17,800$9,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,956.8710562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No61c17,745$10,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,880.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No60c15,035$9,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,954.161,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c12,428$4,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,024.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…080dbacked No37c11,878$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,477.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked No44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.6432429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No61c9,996$6,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,941.942,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Yes59c9,981$5,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,916.794744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed No63c9,000$5,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,371.0411038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc800…204bbacked Yes37c8,745$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No41c6,335$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.5818848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5072…17bebacked Yes43c5,967$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.0111747%55 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed No41c5,542$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.7316152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No68c5,500$3,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.9931152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked No63c5,290$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.484742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No45c5,239$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.8858049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes35c5,051$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.6727034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18af…66efbacked Yes56c4,804$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.964738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Yes44c4,270$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.7211357.5%65 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes61c4,086$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes5c4,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcd…bf45backed Yes42c3,493$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.724725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No52c3,440$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.9453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes4c3,164$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f0…416cbacked Yes51c2,969$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked No63c2,966$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.989466%62 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes52c2,872$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.499752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes42c2,647$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes5c2,600$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13521846.8%102 W · 116 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeaf…1779backed Yes61c2,522$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes13c2,494$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.251,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…da86backed Yes40c2,489$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001560%9 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes41c2,421$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed No56c2,400$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.9812810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55a6…eeb0backed Yes29c2,264$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.774242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed No45c2,239$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.9331644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked No61c2,200$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.997754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Yes6c2,164$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.668746%40 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed No61c2,159$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.0124749.8%123 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9922846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed No61c1,989$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.111442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes1c1,900$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198415.5%13 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes7c1,773$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9825328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes56c1,770$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x131a…73f9backed No54c1,751$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes52c1,727$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a9d…de77backed No42c1,703$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.628149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes58c1,647$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.7828025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Yes40c1,625$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1630626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes40c1,610$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64413237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed No62c1,601$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.5617636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes51c1,593$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.3426447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…0dfcbacked No63c1,513$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.941060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked No58c1,435$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.746621.2%14 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe247…29f6backed No39c1,339$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.582213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-73.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No75c1,336$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.112,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked No50c1,319$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9611042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eae…6dd5backed No45c1,299$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes40c1,249$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.811247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7a…2703backed Yes45c1,218$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008528.2%24 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No49c1,161$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.7120646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes16c1,091$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4919125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…21a2backed Yes17c1,073$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.393923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2390…a15fbacked No62c1,071$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.9710065%65 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc698…6794backed Yes14c1,043$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.071533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No39c1,038$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.8243145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes19c1,013$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3704963.3%31 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Yes55c1,000$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5463652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e7…f81cbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109310.8%10 W · 83 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed No61c999.98$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.1227543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No56c992.1$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.392,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf4…a5c8backed Yes19c985.32$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2140%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked No63c956.51$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.5126720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No58c945.18$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.512,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No43c937.87$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.5317569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes55c909.66$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4e…413cbacked Yes36c890.02$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked No37c888$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.449727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8630…158bbacked Yes5c887.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010233.3%34 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13d…11aabacked Yes4c875$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35306.7%2 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb770…3f81backed Yes38c869.79$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.5213240.2%53 W · 79 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes6c861.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked No79c859.24$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.293158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed No63c843.99$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2831156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f1…8c6ebacked Yes64c837.18$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.891637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8759…d94fbacked Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes61c810.38$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5510743%46 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa363…0ab2backed No62c785.61$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.531442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes13c759.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3b…c239backed No44c748.57$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0390…da52backed Yes48c740.61$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5635…94fabacked Yes5c716.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed No47c712.81$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.5317040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed No66c705.76$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.632763%17 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed No49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3575846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d10…3bddbacked Yes3c699.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184022.5%9 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc018…8a16backed Yes15c679.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.