TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Switzerlandof Argentina, Switzerland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$787,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$733,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f03…766dbacked Argentina13c289,924$38,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,389.023925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Argentina12c71,041$8,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,359.8112810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina12c22,519$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.042,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Argentina10c15,610$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.021,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Argentina11c14,592$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.6311642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Argentina12c12,036$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.7312825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Argentina11c11,715$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.932128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Argentina18c10,873$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005328.3%15 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed Argentina18c10,232$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.811625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Argentina12c9,500$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.241,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Argentina13c9,460$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.67447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed Argentina18c6,249$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.822853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Argentina13c5,228$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.3315441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Argentina12c5,200$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61160511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Argentina12c4,998$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.261,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Argentina15c3,750$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.514250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Argentina13c3,162$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.8737223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Argentina12c2,989$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7423036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Argentina13c2,968$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.3830220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Argentina18c2,792$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009633.3%32 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Argentina12c2,062$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Argentina12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Argentina12c1,998$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.84822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Argentina12c1,888$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.154932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Argentina12c1,602$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.623,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Argentina11c1,400$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9827543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Argentina12c1,304$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.852,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Argentina11c1,285$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7614528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Argentina12c1,276$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Argentina12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15072722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Argentina12c1,224$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Argentina8c1,200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Argentina13c1,109$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1514323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…e90fbacked Argentina19c1,039$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Argentina12c1,020$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Argentina12c1,000$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.535446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…f1c5backed Argentina8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7011…c6dabacked Argentina12c911$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.324949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Argentina11c728.78$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8114428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x817a…7f1cbacked Argentina12c680.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.526232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Argentina12c583.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7024242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…7deebacked Argentina18c495.14$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.62213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Argentina12c489.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.694854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Argentina19c480$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Argentina11c460$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.491,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Argentina12c450$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Argentina11c434.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed Argentina3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Argentina13c400$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Argentina12c383.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Argentina12c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7514829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f1…a30fbacked Argentina13c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Argentina13c295.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4229813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70bd…3ecfbacked Argentina12c280.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316230.2%49 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina12c268.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9da…3ef5backed Argentina12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed Argentina12c233.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.253716.2%6 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Argentina12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259535.8%34 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8dd…ddd2backed Argentina12c204$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.999137.4%34 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6530backed Argentina12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.523640.3%95 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Argentina12c199.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.515034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Argentina12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209417%16 W · 78 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Argentina12c163.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c6e…9faebacked Argentina12c163.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5db…2fa3backed Argentina12c163.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Argentina13c162.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.182,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Argentina12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.233221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0984…5933backed Argentina13c160$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010836.1%39 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Argentina12c156.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.226929%20 W · 49 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Argentina24c150$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.621,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee3…b16bbacked Argentina12c141.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173112.9%4 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Argentina12c127.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Argentina17c124.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.255721.1%12 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Argentina12c122.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Argentina18c120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.99945.5%45 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f5…b843backed Argentina13c117.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.741040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Argentina12c112.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.872,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3329…2f5cbacked Argentina13c112$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147215.3%11 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…be20backed Argentina11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.388833%29 W · 59 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Argentina19c110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdff…d140backed Argentina19c109.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.793138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf51e…0280backed Argentina11c106.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.126540%26 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a1…2b1abacked Argentina12c106.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132412.5%3 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0950…33c1backed Argentina19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-74.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38cc…d5cfbacked Argentina12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ccc…653fbacked Argentina13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511840.7%48 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Argentina12c84.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2064…3795backed Argentina12c81.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-59.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed Argentina13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10759.3%7 W · 68 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa4…dd31backed Argentina13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked Argentina19c62.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5614444.4%64 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Argentina18c62.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4139043.6%170 W · 220 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.