Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x356f3bc80488a69e50817b561af26fefb7b8a1cdc7a8e1ba9494aa923ebd1732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 73c | 5,008$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.15 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Over | 27c | 2,607$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 73c | 2,454$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.52 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 7c | 1,902$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…e818backed Over | 27c | 1,466$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.87 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 26c | 1,050$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Over | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 985.33$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.35 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Under | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 22c | 623.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Under | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 437.82$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…0522backed Under | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 73c | 406.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Over | 27c | 405.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 73c | 404.86$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 27c | 337.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Over | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 73c | 243.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 28c | 225.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Over | 22c | 217.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Over | 27c | 211.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 73c | 169.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Under | 73c | 146$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…07eabacked Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…cdd4backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 73c | 100.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 26c | 74.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 73c | 47.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…4178backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 73c | 32.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 77c | 27.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 73c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.