Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf575695f4cd74b1b0172636d0e19c593570e0c514ad1c9a4b3885fe1b4aed6f8

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $757,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $776,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,240 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa235…34bbbacked Over	9c	485,433$43,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,402.54	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	9c	50,000$4,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,624.99	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	9c	13,448$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.31	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	10c	7,164$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.93	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	4c	7,053$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.35	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Over	10c	5,216$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.51	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Over	10c	5,151$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	9c	4,401$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.2	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	10c	4,123$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.2	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	1c	4,081$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.98	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	8c	3,279$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.75	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Over	10c	3,159$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over	10c	3,150$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.13	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over	10c	3,070$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over	11c	2,990$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.14	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	8c	2,759$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.38	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	9c	2,338$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.61	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	4c	2,277$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.04	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Over	10c	2,051$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cde…020fbacked Over	10c	2,038$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	10c	1,949$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over	10c	1,601$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.07	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over	9c	1,560$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.3	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c85…9634backed Over	1c	1,502$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over	9c	1,441$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.12	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Over	9c	1,421$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.77	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	5c	1,376$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.86	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over	10c	1,246$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.46	116	34.5%40 W · 76 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over	9c	1,053$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+182.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	10c	1,026$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	206	26.2%54 W · 152 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Over	10c	1,000$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-39%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Over	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	10c	999.47$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.34	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89be…ebb4backed Over	10c	977.64$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.32	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4430…541fbacked Over	3c	899.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	93	37.6%35 W · 58 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Over	10c	833.47$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over	6c	596.4$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.14	143	23.8%34 W · 109 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	9c	569.65$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.27	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	9c	547.35$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.54	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	9c	540.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Over	10c	536.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.01	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over	10c	511.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.88	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b23…a0fdbacked Over	8c	500$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.75	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+67.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	10c	497.33$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.72	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d26…6a3cbacked Over	4c	470.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	10c	435.22$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.39	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	12c	380.17$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.11	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fba…700cbacked Over	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over	10c	320$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf875…814dbacked Over	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over	16c	300$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.88	175	33.7%59 W · 116 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.29	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	9c	298.26$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9646…2dcdbacked Over	9c	290.81$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1859…a421backed Over	9c	270$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	78	37.2%29 W · 49 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Over	10c	264.1$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc316…31abbacked Over	10c	256.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over	9c	230.01$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x326f…802dbacked Over	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over	13c	219.76$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over	9c	218.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad1…a4b6backed Over	10c	205.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	17%8 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	12c	196$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.14	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	10c	194.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	257	37%95 W · 162 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce04…e871backed Over	10c	167.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ab…4122backed Over	9c	160$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	10c	153.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	22c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.36	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	19c	150$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.47	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	21c	148$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.39	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over	9c	144.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5f…7750backed Over	9c	136.84$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	143	25.9%37 W · 106 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	15c	124.54$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.68	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	13c	123.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	237	36.3%86 W · 151 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Over	10c	123.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	9c	116.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.51	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff1a…ab18backed Over	17c	114.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	10c	108.64$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	113	31%35 W · 78 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5this page
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Switzerland won
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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