TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f62…d989backed Over17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over13c8,166$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.081,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over18c8,108$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.0823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307b…3bd2backed Over8c7,800$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5931338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over14c7,463$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.972,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over17c6,617$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.891,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over15c4,117$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.314,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over17c2,577$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.751,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Under76c2,501$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2412854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over18c2,132$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.522,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under78c2,074$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.591,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over14c1,952$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.862,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over24c1,876$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over8c1,861$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.221,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over12c1,816$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over12c1,729$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over7c1,268$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.211,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over18c1,133$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.862,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Over18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005322.6%12 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over24c986.61$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2521641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over13c798.47$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0858642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x853c…bd03backed Over8c796.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.42634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over15c792.66$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1872247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over15c757.59$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.252,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over9c598.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.382,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7238…c31fbacked Over19c591.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…80a9backed Over8c552.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Over2c510$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.224540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over10c509$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over18c500.72$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1319713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over13c401.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.951,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.469826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a52…2114backed Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over21c375$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.752,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over17c341$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.193,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b83…2eadbacked Over18c322.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589328%26 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5114323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over17c299.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5229813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over14c289.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.373536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x492e…e77fbacked Over23c241.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556233.9%21 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe353…09e2backed Over21c222.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.661118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-59.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f48…0e01backed Over18c211.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3815130.5%46 W · 105 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3443819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over17c195$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over10c181.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.141,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over17c171$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.932837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027750.9%141 W · 136 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over12c164$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032433.6%109 W · 215 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7509…645fbacked Over18c161.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293622.2%8 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over36c158$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.361,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over24c155.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.011,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over12c154.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.374427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over11c150$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2865036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0950…33c1backed Over7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-74.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over11c148.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.272,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf51e…0280backed Over10c145.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.136540%26 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over18c130$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.418426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over13c127.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x857b…bee0backed Over18c113.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020227.2%55 W · 147 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207930.4%24 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Over18c105.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198331.3%26 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Over18c101.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2510911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over17c99.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over20c98.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7677433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387b…ad8fbacked Over18c97.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over19c92.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.424327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44634.8%16 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over16c75.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8619038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under53c71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.372,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over22c68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9634551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over24c53.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.821,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under79c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.822,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf94…dfe2backed Under77c19.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.45858.6%34 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under78c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.381,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under79c12.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.6763745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc3…384ebacked Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53275%24 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.