TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,835 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over16c2,244$357 inLost-$356.952,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c2,172$1,725 inWon+$446.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over16c1,500$240 inLost-$2407639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over17c1,050$180 inLost-$18031520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over15c980.42$150 inLost-$15010844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over14c377$53 inLost-$52.7865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdb…92dbbacked Over32c312.5$100 inLost-$1005326.4%14 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over15c299.99$45 inLost-$4514323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over40c250$100 inLost-$10028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over18c218.07$39 inLost-$38.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over15c213.33$32 inLost-$3229338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over18c182.47$33 inLost-$33.252,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9646…2dcdbacked Over16c171.76$28 inLost-$282619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over23c170.35$39 inLost-$38.961,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8df…1d90backed Over15c130$20 inLost-$19.52817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd3…adbbbacked Over39c127.6$50 inLost-$501060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over16c125$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Over35c99.99$35 inLost-$355341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over63c87.99$55 inLost-$55.4616344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…94e1backed Over37c81.08$30 inLost-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over15c70$11 inLost-$10.523741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d32…9973backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost-$104020%8 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb777…8703backed Under65c61.98$40 inWon+$21.863452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over19c60.59$11 inLost-$11.2616163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over36c50$18 inLost-$1826344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under35c30.74$11 inWon+$20.0125328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under40c25$10 inWon+$1566932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.