TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,828 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d10…3bddbacked Under3c499.95$15 inLost-$154022.5%9 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Over43c230.23$100 inWon+$130.2318554.6%101 W · 84 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under57c199$113 inLost-$113.312,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf14b…2b93backed Over37c141.84$52 inWon+$89.363161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f26…c697backed Under56c100.23$56 inLost-$56.133145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under63c95.78$60 inLost-$60.341,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over43c67$29 inWon+$38.1992732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under63c46.06$29 inLost-$29.022,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7288backed Under68c36.76$25 inLost-$251566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0db9…a4a8backed Under55c35.25$19 inLost-$19.34355.7%2 W · 33 L-16.1wins-0.46per pick52cpaid-91.8%equal weight20-0.27 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c32.48$14 inWon+$18.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over59c30$18 inWon+$12.410157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.