Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x784fd4fb6951bbd2df7604967df71e28ca05f85acb042174ce9871dd51e2119e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 32,339$5,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923.54 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1886…d64fbacked Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Under | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 5,213$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 18c | 4,647$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.47 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 18c | 2,289$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.06 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 18c | 999.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 18c | 762.87$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Under | 18c | 744$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 18c | 596$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 18c | 584.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 18c | 550.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 53.8%351 W · 301 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 513$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 18c | 491.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 18c | 451.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under | 16c | 439.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 19c | 433$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 19c | 420.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 18c | 342$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Under | 3c | 335$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 18c | 306.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Under | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…93d0backed Under | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 19c | 238.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 20c | 200.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb480…92b9backed Over | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Over | 80c | 199.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…3266backed Under | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa105…71ccbacked Under | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 18c | 157.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 328 | 37.2%122 W · 206 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 19c | 156.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Under | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 301 | 37.2%112 W · 189 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Under | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 18c | 90.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 18c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf774…9085backed Over | 80c | 16.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 0.5this page
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.