TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed No0c155,419$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.548,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No72c24,999$17,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,999.4724144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No28c11,636$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.932,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes28c6,965$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.0731945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked No23c5,047$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.673650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes28c4,700$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,38413330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes28c3,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.438528.2%24 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f6…8993backed Yes62c3,231$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.32020%4 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes14c2,748$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.242,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No28c2,122$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.1958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes28c1,791$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.234643.5%20 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes71c1,553$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.8765948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6561…e3c2backed Yes75c1,331$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.071145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x877e…5f22backed No74c1,015$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011335.4%40 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Yes29c965.52$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.5212529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…21a2backed Yes28c928.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.573923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes28c892.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8614652.1%76 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No40c798.25$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.452,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No26c726.94$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.642,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7bb6…8c80backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.295523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7115937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No29c514.19$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.071,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcfac…bc1cbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006222.6%14 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1e…5443backed Yes33c414.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.721163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0950…33c1backed No79c408.99$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-74.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e68…d13bbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.149819.4%19 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…7baebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.142927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe212…0409backed Yes28c332.09$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.283554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa635…5520backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.874266.7%28 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f22…1d6bbacked Yes66c303.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.232254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes29c294.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7714323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ee…66e1backed Yes57c282.07$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+95.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Yes72c277.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.886328.6%18 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No30c275.05$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3627034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee45…200abacked No63c271.39$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706867.6%46 W · 22 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No74c270.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No34c262.54$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2625753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes67c253.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7327327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec9…f819backed Yes57c252$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.463339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1807951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c234.48$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.482,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes27c221.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4414553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x366a…9b9fbacked Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No28c199.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2886455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes29c189.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6610038%38 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes15c186.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.222,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c184.48$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.982,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked No41c182.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0524540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.578843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5728747%135 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094a…1274backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.576030%18 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.578661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked No15c178.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4145536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77fe…9491backed Yes28c175$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a9…22cdbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.412231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e5…95f0backed Yes53c166.68$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47df…2183backed Yes61c164.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.151631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes26c152.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9915325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf7…0fb8backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2514358.7%84 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Yes67c143.18$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.256250%31 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d9…fc33backed Yes53c133.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No23c131.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.746521.5%14 W · 51 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd549…c156backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582450%12 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb086…8291backed Yes68c130.88$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb80f…393fbacked Yes52c126.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.925026%13 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8333…ef3ebacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5d…0cd6backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-55.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c28…eb7fbacked No44c114.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x176e…dbe1backed Yes18c111.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.585655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…cb9cbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.142339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dfd…67aabacked Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.143237.5%12 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9eb…d270backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7082…fa90backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0a…3c94backed Yes28c97.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No37c95.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No71c89.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5818843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes63c89.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4175729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e3…3efdbacked Yes28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.294122%9 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes18c86.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.485232.7%17 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c36…3eafbacked Yes71c86.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1886…d64fbacked Yes19c78.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.95728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a3…3ab1backed Yes29c78.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes28c77.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.922,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d41…24d7backed Yes52c76.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.693444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f93…ed58backed Yes54c73.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Yes80c72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.646555.4%36 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f05…7e5dbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4330432.6%99 W · 205 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes71c71.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7620427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Yes27c69.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5356…55a9backed No56c67.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.453525.7%9 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e8…b3e2backed Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.673450%17 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No73c66.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5448154.9%264 W · 217 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6edb…e61ebacked Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.948959.6%53 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…3d19backed Yes72c64.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad4…317abacked Yes32c63.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0910246.1%47 W · 55 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ce…7796backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.615125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes52c59.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5866932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f70…7731backed Yes28c58.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.271127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes47c56.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5432145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.