TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$750,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$758,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $750,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 579 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c217,120$108,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,219.564,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c133,919$66,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,301.012,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over49c72,852$36,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,047.4123942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under51c68,324$34,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,486.5110056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over49c50,000$24,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,440.492,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c31,117$17,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,731.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Under50c16,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0008453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff8d…c814backed Over60c15,280$9,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,149.4314225.4%36 W · 106 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over49c14,244$6,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,983.272433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c13,968$6,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,079.173,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Under40c13,920$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,352.128057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c13,477$6,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,030.983,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c13,376$6,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,322.194,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c13,310$6,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,992.262,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under51c13,209$6,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,503.321,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Over45c12,611$5,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6271822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under50c10,557$5,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,284.2446550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c9,791$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,790.7986455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under30c9,745$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,786.7630626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c7,875$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,873.572,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over51c7,024$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.144,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under44c6,190$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.0746546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd476…f5d4backed Over49c6,096$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.122451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.837549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Over50c4,968$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under41c4,878$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.018243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over49c4,822$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,358.192,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed Over68c4,667$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,174.681637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…204bbacked Over59c4,571$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.93714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under50c4,260$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13017747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over49c4,041$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over54c4,000$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,14012451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3612…177ebacked Over50c3,982$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over49c3,940$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.7710844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over30c3,772$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.4831644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c3,750$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.932,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under51c3,743$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.7740655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c3,565$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.672,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over50c3,517$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.538530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over49c3,510$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.0830465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under34c3,117$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.892,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under51c2,800$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.2938948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under48c2,540$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.8826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2503938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over52c2,500$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.351,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over55c2,472$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.031,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6307…a346backed Over74c2,443$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.585158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over49c2,271$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.7920427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fe…46d0backed Over51c2,158$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1013030%9 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002425%6 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2390…a15fbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010065%65 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over57c2,020$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.3717747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over49c1,903$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.6116943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c1,870$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.281,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under61c1,770$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.7625244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under50c1,696$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.1232042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Under50c1,623$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.695234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over48c1,603$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.3740649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over59c1,547$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.7316050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over79c1,534$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.9212266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c1,421$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.32,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x307b…3bd2backed Over35c1,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631a…b631backed Over68c1,375$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under51c1,274$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.271,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c1,202$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.1737959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over49c1,150$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.513550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Over50c1,040$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under51c1,036$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.351,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c1,024$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.881,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ee…64b4backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004967.3%33 W · 16 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e50…96efbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba22…0c14backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+91.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x382e…4f6bbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009437.2%35 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked Over73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73011749.6%58 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c999.8$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.92,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c999.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.53,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.221957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87d6…d1e7backed Under51c967.79$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.222540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under50c962.02$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.011,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Over37c917.71$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.5545536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over49c914.2$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.9614323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under49c888$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.8811444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under51c884.27$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.2432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over53c879.6$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.742,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.