TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87d6…d1e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Stocks at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4131.7%13 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.03
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+282.8%+$157.78
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.19
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,403.87
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$5,145.97
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$532.09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.94
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$1,465.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.58
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$115.54
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$72.15
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.66
France vs. England: England O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$474.22
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.72
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$576.77
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$197.28
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$300.22
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.94
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.69
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.44
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.97
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$439.65
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.86
Panama vs. England: Panama O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.52
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$1,286.67
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$933.24
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,789.43
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.46
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$811.24
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.3
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.52
All 25 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-76.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+346.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.22
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+792.9%+$243.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+229.1%+$732.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.72
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$75.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+91%+$190.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Little Rock Trojans vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (W)backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+27.2%+$12.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Montserrat Rendon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$127
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlinbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.