CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa855802c9d3ebd988b448dfd268823c773a6bfe65cd7016d8b42830545fde4da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Under | 58c | 35,469$20,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,693.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…f8bfbacked Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Under | 0c | 6,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…7c48backed Under | 17c | 6,420$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…7b24backed Over | 18c | 5,675$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +443.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Over | 6c | 5,005$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.51 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Over | 7c | 4,430$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +1,949.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 0c | 2,685$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 10c | 2,631$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.48 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Over | 9c | 1,950$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.98 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Over | 72c | 1,825$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Over | 61c | 1,255$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Over | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 30c | 999.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.45 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Over | 50c | 749.04$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.05 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Over | 40c | 721.66$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.46 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Over | 6c | 537.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +299.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2159backed Over | 21c | 349.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +378.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…d1e7backed Over | 11c | 273.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed Under | 73c | 259.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed Over | 8c | 249.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Over | 51c | 215.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…21b4backed Over | 11c | 205.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Over | 8c | 204.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +317.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Over | 40c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…3e06backed Under | 37c | 179.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Over | 64c | 171.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…7f7bbacked Over | 65c | 162.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…7438backed Over | 18c | 117$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +467.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Over | 20c | 101.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +409.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Over | 14c | 72.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…f1acbacked Over | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Over | 58c | 34.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…5a9ebacked Over | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group StageFOLHA AMARELA won
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 1 Winnerex-KRÜ Esports won
- Map Handicap: FA (-1.5) vs ex-KRÜ Esports (+1.5)ex-KRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.