TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa16a…33a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 64 out of 100; worst NFL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+74%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Grammatikopoulou (-1.5) vs Lim (+1.5)backed Grammatikopoulou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100.8%+$148.35
Set Handicap: Encheva (-1.5) vs Bertea (+1.5)backed Encheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$147.16
Set 1 Winner: Papamichail vs Otzipkabacked Otzipka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$39.64
ITF Brisbane: Ymerali Ibraimi vs Duje Markovinabacked Duje Markovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.95
ITF M25 Pitesti Men: Rares Teodor Pieleanu vs Vladislav Melnicbacked Rares Teodor Pieleanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16,542Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$4,280.77
Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Set 2 Winner: Holmgren/Prashanth vs Reynolds/Wattbacked Holmgren/Prashanth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.22
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.38
Cvetkovic vs. Sanon: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$984.36
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem (Doubles): Chong/Kempen vs Cavalle-Reimers/Saldenbacked Chong/Kempen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Linde vs. Farjat: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,619Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$7,243.23
Set 1 Winner: Kopriva vs Rinderknechbacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,181.89
Kopriva vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96%+$3,105.78
Kopriva vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$2,253.81
Kopriva vs. Rinderknech: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.27
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Chris Rodeschbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$2,563.56
Set 1 Winner: Moriya vs Matsudabacked Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$760.82
Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs Wubacked Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$60.47
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$622.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,369Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,513.73
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.33
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dripmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42.84
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.8
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?backed Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$39.97
Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$8.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100.63
Map Handicap: BRUTE (-1.5) vs PRIME (+1.5)backed PRIME · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs DRGN TEAM (+1.5)backed Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$62.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+599.3%+$61.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+77.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.74
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$134.25
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+406.5%+$532.6
First Blood in Game 2?backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47%+$353.88
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$197.73
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Astini+5 (+1.5)backed Astini+5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$107.64
Game Handicap: Astini+5 (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)backed Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$48.66
Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$51.42
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$200.57
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,160
Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,087
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.33per pick56cpaid+59.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Micron (MU) close at $1,120-$1,140 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$374.12
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will Meta (META) close at <$610 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,396Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$3,408.72
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,579Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$2,090.25
Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,935Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$3,160.3
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280-$285 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$1,758.08
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,436Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$514.5
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 27 above $610?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$572.9
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $280?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$2,250
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Alex Freeman be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$17.8
Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$13.32
Will Panama win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+1,014.2%+$406.17
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.88
Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$15.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+183.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+2,865.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+608.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+247.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+148.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$87.94
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,775Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+222.6%+$8,402.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of April 6 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$98.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$35.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$182.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Thiago Moises · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-2.5) vs Formulation Gaming (+2.5)backed Formulation Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,043.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.