Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf6757023856f04c20b067b658dce62a4c554d650b700b9c1447d00f798c1a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,445 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 52c | 20,817$10,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,824.6 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 11,178$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,812.6 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 8,129$3,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 4,383$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.46 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 2,864$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.32 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 54c | 1,983$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.61 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 37c | 1,960$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.36 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Over | 54c | 1,154$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.89 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 49c | 1,078$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Under | 51c | 1,069$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.81 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 54c | 550.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Under | 52c | 223.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +2,865.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 52c | 173.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 137.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 54c | 110.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 22c | 94.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Under | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 61.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 56.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 36.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 49c | 36.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 31.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 52c | 27.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 50c | 27.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-3.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-1.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's GaelsTexas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 130.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 140.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 146.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.