Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7240dc2ae5f138d36b327999de6c0ce5630aa82153552b9c6811c562a3638977
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M Aggiesof Saint Mary's Gaels, Texas A&M Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 35,471$18,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,380.95 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 34,979$17,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,139.86 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 33,683$17,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,831.21 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 23,198$10,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,904.06 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 19,300$10,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,871.36 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 10,477$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.31 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 9,913$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.01 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 6,666$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 3,110$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.04 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 2,834$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 2,815$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.52 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 2,285$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.02 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 1,911$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 1,836$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.45 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 1,784$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.8 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7eeebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 1,456$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 1,206$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.94 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 1,078$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.65 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.79 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 976.56$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.51 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 750$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 45c | 679.58$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 570.97$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.11 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 404.01$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e3…a9eebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 298.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…e6b8backed Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 194.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 149.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 44c | 132.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…eb17backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas A&M Aggies | 55c | 100.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 100.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 99.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 79.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 71.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 70.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 66.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 50.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 47.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 46.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 46.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…cf50backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 37.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Texas A&M Aggies | 53c | 34.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 32.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 47c | 30.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 45c | 24.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 46c | 24.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 48c | 23.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…6763backed Texas A&M Aggies | 52c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Texas A&M Aggies | 54c | 19.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-1.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's GaelsTexas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 130.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 140.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 146.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 147.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.