TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1379…e6b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NRFI: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$34.66
NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.99
NRFI: Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
NRFI: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$46.8
NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.98
NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.6
NRFI: Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.23
NRFI: Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$38.4
NRFI: Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
NRFI: New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.45
NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.44
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$57.2
NRFI: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.5
NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
NRFI: Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$60.75
NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.95
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-9.5)backed Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.43
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.16
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.11
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.58
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.14
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.16
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.92
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$101.11
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.14
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.16
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.11
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-3.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.16
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.16
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$79.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.