Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3588538442b48933954f8db7306beff2343200f23ea529a11655e8ccfb491ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof VP.Prodigy, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,826 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Power Rangers | 2c | 918.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked VP.Prodigy | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 666.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.87 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 564.81$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.49 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Power Rangers | 73c | 519.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 516.75$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.4 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 499.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked VP.Prodigy | 71c | 459.58$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Power Rangers | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 39c | 348.47$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 309.92$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.44 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VP.Prodigy | 25c | 230.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Power Rangers | 75c | 228$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Power Rangers | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…e6b8backed Power Rangers | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 198.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Power Rangers | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Power Rangers | 75c | 118.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 109.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked VP.Prodigy | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Power Rangers | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked VP.Prodigy | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Power Rangers | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Power Rangers | 50c | 40.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Power Rangers | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Power Rangers | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 71c | 24.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…4b47backed Power Rangers | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs VP.Prodigy (+1.5)VP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.