TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 140.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe248…f293backed Over49c25,000$12,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,249.9778155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under51c20,222$10,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,908.5710648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c15,460$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,575.21,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Over49c5,953$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.953333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Over49c5,953$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.958946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c5,708$2,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c4,468$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.5725145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9603545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9605942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c3,877$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.341,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4402,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c2,958$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.932,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c2,277$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.721,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.993847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Under51c1,487$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c1,157$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.371,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3f…5012backed Over49c1,099$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed Over49c1,088$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.242128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over49c1,004$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.966336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49018556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under51c952.04$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.0642948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c588.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.065,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c583.09$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.711,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22518744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under55c450.61$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.775350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over50c447$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.636549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under54c403.46$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.594440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over49c390.6$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5485248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over50c381.04$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0469350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c344.52$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under51c337.03$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.142065%13 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under51c313.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.493860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c212.13$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9460548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under54c202.46$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.73253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1379…e6b8backed Under52c198.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.161844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c193.06$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.618048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c175.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over45c150.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.851450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under54c142$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.324944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c141.72$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf7…d180backed Over49c119.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…9c5ebacked Over49c119.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc309…513dbacked Over49c119.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under51c117.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.458652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under37c116.82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.384,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under51c101.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.785149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under51c99.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5782048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under51c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6250745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Under51c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6233855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c8…7303backed Under51c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.621844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over48c94.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c92.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9619958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under51c91.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6963551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Under55c90.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b4…f95fbacked Under56c88.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.953070%21 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd91…3d37backed Over52c77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over49c73.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9422756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over50c69.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.694355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over48c64.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.379254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under51c62.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under60c58.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3310755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c55.65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4246246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over47c52.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.784443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Over46c49.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under51c48.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8111741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under51c48.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8149849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over50c46.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1615551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over46c45.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.758246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…6c9bbacked Over68c44.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under51c42.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.952875%21 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Under51c39.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.131353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under51c38.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0516746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over45c36.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5827650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under55c36.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2231057.4%178 W · 132 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under51c32.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.971030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6f8…d71ebacked Under39c31.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Over48c31.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.895944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d8…547cbacked Under51c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Under55c27.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.171662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under51c24.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1422656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2502…87e5backed Over53c22.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.811553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under69c21.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5917446.6%81 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a62…138bbacked Over50c20.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-76.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.