TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 138.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe248…f293backed Over53c37,458$20,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,031.0778155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Over52c28,017$14,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,708.6640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,8008148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under47c13,860$6,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,345.8521636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+65.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over54c9,928$5,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,361.230139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over54c9,913$5,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,353.052231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Under50c8,047$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,023.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+62.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c7,576$3,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,682.751,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c6,747$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.812,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c6,034$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.4625145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under46c5,227$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.572661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under46c5,204$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.3514854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under48c4,981$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.8610448.1%50 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c4,317$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.935,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under46c4,169$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.493855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under46c4,163$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.2832751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c3,871$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.6646246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c3,462$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.471,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under48c2,445$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.942,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aba…ebd6backed Under46c1,896$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over54c1,836$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.3134746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c1,498$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.942,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under46c1,273$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.331,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c1,254$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.71,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf796…3ac5backed Under48c1,033$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c1,011$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.865,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51011542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54042948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over54c936.23$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.5755749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c900$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c564.57$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.224,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c524.4$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.269350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Over17c433$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.931216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Over17c408$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.662725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under47c379.14$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.945060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under54c365.31$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.043053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…9eb1backed Over50c356.66$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.331080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c338.41$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7381…e0efbacked Under47c316.37$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.671376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over20c248$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.583432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Under46c237.05$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.018555.3%47 W · 38 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4a4…ebccbacked Over6c234.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under46c215.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.377354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over54c206.7$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.622334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.171,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over53c199.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.614546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Under39c199.13$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over61c198.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.044,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over55c198.27$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0514553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Over53c187.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Under54c183.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over54c181.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.142828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked Over55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over62c177.41$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.39254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c173.47$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9421850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over55c172.28$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.476549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over51c163.17$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2218048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under55c160.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.411,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over28c156$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.169725.8%25 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under49c148.69$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.832065%13 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over50c145.1$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under53c143.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.799452.1%49 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under48c137.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6827650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over20c133$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.137443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under46c126.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5226254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c120.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.433,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under43c117.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.014443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over44c117.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0652843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under46c115.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.956459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under43c115.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4619958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over15c112$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.72330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Under54c110.07$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.712770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under43c109.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.078246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under42c108.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.977749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over46c107.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5753635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under46c107.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1932246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under46c102.79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.511450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-87.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d5e…2d04backed Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under76c98.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under49c95.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5330152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under48c90.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.219147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over57c90.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4119522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Over55c90.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5728354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over67c84.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.546272.6%45 W · 17 L+10.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd479…be37backed Under32c79.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.874443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over54c78.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.294961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Over20c72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over47c71.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.712536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under46c69.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.472646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c68.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9461244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.