Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06e853025b78597a94a6fb1bb74fd67288fe29aaefc0131d709529e5ced9b09d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 49c | 5,633$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.17 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 51c | 4,802$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.23 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Over | 49c | 4,064$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 3,792$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.06 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 51c | 3,271$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.86 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 3,184$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Over | 49c | 2,342$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over | 50c | 2,015$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.5 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 1,963$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.44 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 50c | 1,883$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.69 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 50c | 689.03$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.37 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 672.59$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.57 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 49c | 606.89$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 602.79$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 48c | 389.57$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 350.06$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 348.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 226.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Under | 50c | 200.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 193.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 49c | 156.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d63…1f72backed Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 92.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 52c | 92.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Under | 50c | 84.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 49c | 81.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 49c | 60.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 49c | 60.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 49c | 60.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…7916backed Under | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 52c | 56.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 41c | 48.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 49c | 42.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 51c | 41.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 37.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 48c | 37.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 49c | 37.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…8aa3backed Over | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Over | 50c | 29.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Over | 48c | 29.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Over | 48c | 28.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…e281backed Under | 52c | 28.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 28.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Over | 53c | 26.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 48c | 25.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 50c | 20.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 139.5this page
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State CyclonesTennessee Volunteers won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 138.5Under won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 140.5Under won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.