TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x901f…74e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,966.3%+$1,483.17
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,890Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$10,471.57
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,158.72
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,899Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$6,235.34
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.35
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,962Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,126.01
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,247.91
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$4,336.53
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.9
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.02
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,953.66
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$94.19
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$801
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$12,750
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,814.27
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,850.75
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,420.4
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.36
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,919.52
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.37
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,097Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$7,971.64
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,466.13
Spain vs. Austria: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.4
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.2
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,964Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,500.1
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19,035
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,934Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+173.3%+$5,085.57
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$997.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,941.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.