TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Houston Cougars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,537,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,720,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,537,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Houston Cougars48c766,940$369,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369,885.9117742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1295…5cfdbacked Houston Cougars57c602,204$343,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343,256.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+194.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a0…9a09backed Illinois Fighting Illini43c600,000$258,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342,0002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick55cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Houston Cougars57c500,000$285,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285,0006149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Houston Cougars56c477,889$267,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267,900.192222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55f7…e48abacked Houston Cougars57c388,301$221,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,331.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Houston Cougars57c148,483$84,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,202.515541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa37e…124bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini41c133,205$54,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,590.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Illinois Fighting Illini63c127,744$80,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,665.0934943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Illinois Fighting Illini42c123,934$52,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,881.873158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Illinois Fighting Illini42c123,934$52,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,881.87785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+80.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Illinois Fighting Illini43c102,330$43,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,727.8317643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini44c99,138$43,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,517.061921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick47cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Houston Cougars58c99,000$57,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,4201866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Houston Cougars49c98,390$48,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,211.2221149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Illinois Fighting Illini45c91,923$41,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,593.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Houston Cougars58c83,500$48,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,119.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Cougars57c79,575$45,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,301.952,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Houston Cougars31c69,747$21,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,807.034551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Illinois Fighting Illini44c64,744$28,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,256.421172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Houston Cougars19c62,461$12,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,021.6149345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8904…80a3backed Houston Cougars57c60,000$34,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,200425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb3…02bfbacked Houston Cougars59c60,000$35,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,4001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Illinois Fighting Illini41c55,347$22,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,703.278155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Houston Cougars57c50,000$28,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,50090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Illinois Fighting Illini41c49,577$20,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,250.244047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Cougars57c46,822$26,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,626.1218744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Houston Cougars58c46,491$26,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,829.941947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Cougars30c45,836$13,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,862.4233438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Houston Cougars51c44,997$22,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,948.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Illinois Fighting Illini43c43,410$18,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,743.72429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Houston Cougars57c41,691$23,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,764.022646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini49c41,501$20,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,017.232425%6 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x184f…05e5backed Illinois Fighting Illini45c40,196$18,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,043.633129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Houston Cougars57c38,897$22,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,326.632425%6 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini42c36,533$15,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,154.418148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Houston Cougars58c35,000$20,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,2008946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Illinois Fighting Illini43c30,000$12,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Houston Cougars58c29,000$16,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,819.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Houston Cougars38c28,738$10,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,927.9425145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Houston Cougars58c27,898$16,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,180.652123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed Houston Cougars58c27,775$16,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,109.360%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc54d…8be1backed Houston Cougars0c25,049$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ce…5462backed Houston Cougars57c25,000$14,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,250450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Illinois Fighting Illini44c24,784$10,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,879.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e34…20dabacked Illinois Fighting Illini57c24,253$13,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,430.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Houston Cougars56c23,159$13,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,062.9512251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Houston Cougars1c22,496$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.46287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-79.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Houston Cougars56c22,269$12,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,370.631060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Houston Cougars54c21,881$11,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,836.3918954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Houston Cougars45c21,621$9,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,621.85437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5287…3a16backed Houston Cougars58c20,757$11,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,981.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c6…47debacked Houston Cougars58c20,513$11,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,906.632927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Houston Cougars57c20,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d29…414dbacked Houston Cougars58c20,000$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,6001936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Houston Cougars59c20,000$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,799.863956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini63c19,612$12,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,169.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cd0…8e55backed Illinois Fighting Illini43c19,400$8,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,058250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Houston Cougars57c19,068$10,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,868.966056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df8…6898backed Illinois Fighting Illini43c17,354$7,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,891.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…2eeebacked Illinois Fighting Illini43c16,440$7,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,370.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Houston Cougars58c15,339$8,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,896.572917.2%5 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-69.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Houston Cougars52c15,229$7,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,919.0340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Houston Cougars60c15,074$9,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,041.441,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a88…1d03backed Houston Cougars58c15,045$8,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,726.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Houston Cougars57c14,871$8,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,476.652445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Houston Cougars6c14,808$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.782,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked Houston Cougars58c14,725$8,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,568.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini51c13,923$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,822.041258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Illinois Fighting Illini44c13,519$5,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,570.518432.1%27 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f7b…03e0backed Houston Cougars58c13,500$7,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8301346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Houston Cougars57c13,300$7,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5815341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Houston Cougars57c13,045$7,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,435.662917.2%5 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd824…ab29backed Houston Cougars58c13,015$7,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,548.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Houston Cougars48c12,939$6,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,235.855,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Cougars35c12,446$4,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,402.345,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Illinois Fighting Illini52c12,043$6,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,780.66650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Houston Cougars3c11,790$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.832347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ba…f6a2backed Houston Cougars57c11,000$6,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,27010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Illinois Fighting Illini41c11,000$4,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,489.8211555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Houston Cougars56c10,579$5,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,898.7146246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Houston Cougars58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8003641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Houston Cougars58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,800922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Illinois Fighting Illini43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70036944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Houston Cougars58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,799.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini42c9,469$3,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,491.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Houston Cougars48c9,359$4,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,486.468246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Houston Cougars57c9,301$5,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,308.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Houston Cougars59c9,000$5,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2703545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini44c8,956$3,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+82.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf732…7c06backed Houston Cougars57c8,800$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0161127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Illinois Fighting Illini44c8,476$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,746.716127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x720e…17b0backed Houston Cougars55c8,392$4,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,594.31758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d1…cd88backed Houston Cougars57c8,319$4,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,738.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e77…2757backed Houston Cougars57c8,247$4,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700.592450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Illinois Fighting Illini71c8,093$5,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.053,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Illinois Fighting Illini49c7,913$3,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,031.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf97e…3947backed Houston Cougars58c7,868$4,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,563.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Illinois Fighting Illini70c7,591$5,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.386100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Cougars38c7,499$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.0412227.9%34 W · 88 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.