TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$334,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$333,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over53c213,582$112,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,474.253455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c60,968$28,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,313.1417643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under48c55,000$26,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,599.9878155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c46,416$21,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,600.5446246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c36,301$17,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,185.932,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under51c24,219$12,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,956.7874051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under48c13,271$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,901.1210749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9936944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under47c9,990$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,294.6430139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over26c8,892$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.7221636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under74c8,169$6,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.588754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over53c7,930$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,203.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c4,965$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.6518744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under50c3,977$1,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.7823243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c2,654$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.693,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over36c2,510$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2754744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c1,982$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.9513356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c1,824$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c1,710$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.745,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over51c1,679$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.1711850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under49c1,666$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.5718048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c1,564$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.741,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over51c1,557$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.231,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c1,255$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.71,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over50c1,200$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59685248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56113343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5307938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad0b…9eb1backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f6f…ece6backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under49c997.8$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.8837246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under77c879.24$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.531,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over49c802.92$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under50c781.23$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.6969350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under49c756.52$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.835127.5%14 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-52.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Under49c724.36$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.423847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…9c5ebacked Under49c638.96$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over45c570.49$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.092,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over51c485.91$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8116248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Under50c440.12$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.062755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under48c413.03$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.775949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Over52c412.62$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.196758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Over52c381.26$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under46c363.22$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.142231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under49c338$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3834746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over25c316.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.719958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over26c289.34$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.936251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over25c281.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.167749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over25c272.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.998246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked Under48c268.47$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4c…a6a1backed Under48c258.14$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over26c247.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.537146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over51c241.04$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9331448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Under49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1714051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under78c195.15$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8260551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over52c190.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1311844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Over30c188.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under79c159.07$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3410755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe153…e415backed Over51c147.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.33520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5f2…3d9bbacked Under49c137.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e7…0255backed Under49c136.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed86…7240backed Over51c134.81$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7569…8e53backed Over51c131.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61c…c177backed Under49c129.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over23c128.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1219522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c128.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.155,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc0…5b13backed Over51c125.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfe…fd89backed Over51c123.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x928f…de3dbacked Under49c122.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Over51c120.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c32…a114backed Over51c117.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5e9…df94backed Under49c115.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339b…3c2dbacked Over51c111.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84a…0824backed Under49c111.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf73b…1721backed Under49c110.03$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Under47c107$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.716767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ae…97c0backed Over32c99.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.982516%4 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.562138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5648551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd996…1fa3backed Under49c94.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab7…7655backed Over51c93.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef0…62fdbacked Over51c93.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Over33c91.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.319552.6%50 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9e5…3c6cbacked Over51c90.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…e580backed Under49c86.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x562f…9c04backed Over51c80.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.95520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfef5…4ba6backed Under49c76.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ad…0f2cbacked Over51c75.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…93b1backed Over28c74.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under72c73.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2730152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf054…1a95backed Under49c73.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.