Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe9da9554a0b0792113cc155dfc9a55d97ac85974f7e9f9af56b2ba6dc04aba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Houston Cougars, Illinois Fighting Illini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 46,749$23,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,058.57 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 39,410$20,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,311.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 19,825$9,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,714.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 19,230$9,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,422.86 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 16,936$8,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,241.55 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 16,108$7,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,893.04 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.96 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 12,423$6,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,087.12 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 67c | 10,297$6,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.43 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 9,601$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.14 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 9,008$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.88 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Houston Cougars | 51c | 7,100$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.06 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 4,989$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.79 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 4,988$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.07 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 4,958$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.83 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 4,956$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.57 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 4,560$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Houston Cougars | 14c | 4,227$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 4,163$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Cougars | 37c | 4,049$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.69 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 3,736$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.01 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Houston Cougars | 32c | 3,290$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.12 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 3,172$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.29 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 2,998$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.12 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Cougars | 26c | 2,997$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd658…ecadbacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 2,916$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce2…40bcbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 2,297$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…8371backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 2,233$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…3a38backed Houston Cougars | 51c | 2,220$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 2,082$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Houston Cougars | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Houston Cougars | 56c | 1,998$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.89 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Cougars | 44c | 1,987$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…ce37backed Houston Cougars | 51c | 1,980$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 1,962$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.38 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 1,904$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.05 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7c…84d6backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 1,902$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 1,750$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 1,586$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 1,311$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.45 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 1,051$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.96 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 996.21$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.1 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 971.82$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.19 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 971.82$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 909.64$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.98 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 67c | 723.99$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.25 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…6b2dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 713.02$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 59c | 594.92$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.92 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 583.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 581.46$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Houston Cougars | 29c | 513.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 498.6$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 485.71$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 476.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.75 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 418.75$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 404.31$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…2b42backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 380.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.39 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 353.88$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Houston Cougars | 30c | 331.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 313.85$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 313.17$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.33 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 307.29$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Houston Cougars | 51c | 297.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.66 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 283.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 272.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 268.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Houston Cougars | 50c | 237.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Houston Cougars | 40c | 229.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 73c | 215.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Houston Cougars | 20c | 215.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…e6b8backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…791bbacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 201.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Houston Cougars | 50c | 199.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…ca73backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 62cpaid | +56%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 181.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Houston Cougars | 37c | 166.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 132.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…62fabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 130.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 130.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 113.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 108.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Houston Cougars | 51c | 102.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Houston Cougars | 51c | 102.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)this page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston CougarsIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 117.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 118.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 119.5Over won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 120.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 126.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 139.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-3.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-4.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.