TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a7c…84d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.48
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$106.45
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$95.55
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9.67
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$5.01
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$91.29
Islanders vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.32
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.84
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$962.89
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.63
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$81.57
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.01
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$92.32
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+37%+$52.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$951.08
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. La Salle Explorersbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$95.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$91.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.6%+$5.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.