La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31c7916464e0a7c79defeed577ef962ac56bf3202c9901f2e4d95c571cea21f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $994,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $984,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $994,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked No | 37c | 304,182$113,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,676.78 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Yes | 63c | 140,000$88,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,199.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 53,082$19,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,764.94 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 62c | 48,782$30,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,244.9 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 62c | 44,274$27,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,670.72 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Yes | 63c | 39,683$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 33,809$14,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,119.15 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 64c | 33,646$21,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,541.81 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 62c | 32,519$20,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,161.77 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 30,756$19,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,818.44 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 26,417$9,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,776.19 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…e742backed Yes | 63c | 23,720$14,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,901.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 37c | 21,644$8,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,635.45 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 17,391$7,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,780.15 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 13,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.98 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 37c | 12,800$4,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,036 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 46c | 11,500$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 38c | 11,096$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,878.31 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 63c | 10,786$6,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,755.19 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 63c | 10,597$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.11 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 10,501$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,172.03 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 22c | 10,283$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.1 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked No | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 37c | 9,015$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 36c | 8,831$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.56 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 46c | 8,500$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 62c | 8,500$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269.99 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 64c | 7,627$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.99 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 37c | 7,406$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,665.75 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked No | 37c | 7,267$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 63c | 6,873$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,330 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 64c | 6,680$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.19 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed No | 38c | 6,625$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 35c | 5,040$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.63 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Yes | 45c | 4,900$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,242$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.85 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Yes | 63c | 4,072$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 63c | 4,000$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.95 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 3,595$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.63 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 3,469$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.67 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 3,285$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.72 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 37c | 3,263$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 62c | 3,043$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.66 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 59c | 3,016$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.07 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 37c | 2,844$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.72 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 37c | 2,827$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.87 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 78c | 2,701$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.1 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,650$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Yes | 58c | 2,637$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 55c | 2,586$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed No | 38c | 2,578$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 38c | 2,349$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.45 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,343$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 34c | 2,245$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 63c | 1,999$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.48 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 1,972$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.42 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…3ad5backed Yes | 54c | 1,848$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 36c | 1,768$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.81 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 63c | 1,741$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 65c | 1,595$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Yes | 63c | 1,589$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 39c | 1,384$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.54 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 38c | 1,350$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 9c | 1,349$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 38c | 1,290$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 37c | 1,286$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.13 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 63c | 1,200$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Yes | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.76 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 37c | 1,107$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.65 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Yes | 62c | 1,070$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 58c | 1,045$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…25b6backed Yes | 1c | 1,015$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6b…1688backed No | 38c | 1,000$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 35c | 999.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 35c | 999.91$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.94 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 923.22$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.01 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…18c3backed Yes | 64c | 882.73$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed No | 37c | 877.88$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 63c | 823$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.74 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 63c | 800$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 45c | 775$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.58 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 65c | 768.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 768.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 64c | 762.7$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.61 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Yes | 4c | 760.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…5e25backed Yes | 7c | 755.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -71%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.