TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc6b…1688

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Olympics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$413
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$915
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$324
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$109.12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$230
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+284.6%+$296
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$48
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$380
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$197.4
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$178.5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+164%+$182.43
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+244.8%+$176.79
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$93
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.44
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$139.99
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+525%+$663.6
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$155.61
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$55.02
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$123
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51.75
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$318
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+72.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56%+$84.7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$217
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$157.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.