Olympics · resolved market
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9e31d88af7b0c085c8482e6daa2cf1034794d8b724de19c1c5673cde6d496d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,776,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,668,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,776,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 998 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Yes | 32c | 238,903$76,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,790.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 43c | 83,104$35,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,571.97 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 33c | 75,283$24,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,586.32 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 30c | 70,797$21,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,699.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…c67cbacked Yes | 31c | 63,743$19,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,932.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 34c | 59,569$20,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,538.24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 33,180$10,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,904.23 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes | 34c | 32,202$10,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,240.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed No | 69c | 30,001$20,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,583.54 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 24,567$8,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,944.26 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 57c | 24,113$13,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,744.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…8334backed Yes | 47c | 20,636$9,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,937.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 31c | 18,447$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,659.82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked No | 70c | 17,675$12,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,349.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 30c | 17,500$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,199.89 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 38c | 14,999$5,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,336.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 57c | 13,900$7,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 39c | 10,015$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,059.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 46c | 10,012$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 32c | 9,693$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 40c | 9,626$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,732.76 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 32c | 8,993$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Yes | 53c | 8,306$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…0670backed Yes | 31c | 8,135$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,613.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 4c | 7,792$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 29c | 7,388$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…445dbacked No | 69c | 7,037$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 33c | 6,879$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…9f81backed Yes | 33c | 6,203$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 39c | 6,086$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 65c | 5,810$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…fbf1backed Yes | 32c | 5,529$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Yes | 48c | 5,396$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd709…5f46backed Yes | 47c | 5,392$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 42c | 5,375$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3e…8af2backed Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 4,778$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 41c | 4,729$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Yes | 46c | 4,649$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 29c | 4,500$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed No | 66c | 4,262$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 70c | 4,262$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 37c | 4,138$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…b88ebacked Yes | 30c | 4,111$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…c9b7backed No | 70c | 4,022$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 47c | 3,856$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 28c | 3,853$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Yes | 28c | 3,703$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 42c | 3,702$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 36c | 3,649$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.73 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 65c | 3,562$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…0e31backed Yes | 30c | 3,487$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…4d4dbacked No | 70c | 3,463$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 31c | 3,356$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Yes | 34c | 3,300$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Yes | 43c | 3,090$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…0a30backed Yes | 35c | 2,821$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…3125backed No | 70c | 2,816$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…7edbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,769$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…5d35backed No | 70c | 2,741$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed Yes | 30c | 2,700$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab1…9c6dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,696$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Yes | 32c | 2,648$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 31c | 2,612$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Yes | 29c | 2,495$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 34c | 2,467$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,373$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 68c | 2,317$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 56c | 2,272$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e54…8222backed Yes | 64c | 2,258$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 29c | 2,239$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 2,211$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.29 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…3432backed Yes | 40c | 2,200$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 56c | 2,173$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…eddbbacked Yes | 47c | 2,141$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bb…5237backed No | 69c | 2,138$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked No | 65c | 2,120$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 32c | 2,106$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 36c | 2,105$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 2,083$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.9 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed No | 54c | 2,054$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Yes | 50c | 2,008$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f55…d278backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 37c | 1,989$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.4 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…fc34backed Yes | 31c | 1,920$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…e5efbacked Yes | 30c | 1,881$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…40fcbacked Yes | 35c | 1,881$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed No | 53c | 1,870$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…fe34backed Yes | 35c | 1,857$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…2c81backed No | 66c | 1,856$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Latvia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.