Olympics · resolved market
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x203be6b7dd7135f5313688151c9bd6a35afa92e0210b6c018f04dd243265b58c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,477,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,062,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,477,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 7c | 157,815$10,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,731.57 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Yes | 4c | 68,273$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.09 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 6c | 64,077$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022.5 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 7c | 61,470$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.86 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 4c | 44,359$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes | 7c | 37,180$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.53 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 7c | 32,888$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 8c | 31,014$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.57 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes | 7c | 30,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 6c | 26,332$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 7c | 24,934$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…9accbacked Yes | 7c | 20,141$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 7c | 20,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 5c | 19,022$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.31 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…fc5bbacked Yes | 8c | 16,623$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Yes | 11c | 16,036$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 15,883$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.4 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…8033backed Yes | 7c | 15,203$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Yes | 5c | 13,924$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…b2a9backed Yes | 3c | 13,505$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 6c | 12,785$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.29 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 6c | 12,250$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 12,032$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.36 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 6c | 11,149$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 7c | 11,053$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.03 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 8c | 10,557$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.84 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 6c | 10,255$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +393.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 7c | 10,015$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.15 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 8c | 9,365$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.89 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…4ddcbacked Yes | 7c | 8,805$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 8,079$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.95 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 7,795$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.95 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 7,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 6c | 6,978$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.57 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…ad27backed Yes | 7c | 6,429$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 6,381$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Yes | 8c | 5,939$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa311…a4ebbacked Yes | 7c | 5,809$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 5c | 5,730$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.62 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 3c | 5,586$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…33fdbacked Yes | 7c | 5,355$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 7c | 5,238$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.16 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…a73ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,637$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 8c | 4,190$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 10c | 4,057$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Yes | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,780$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 7c | 3,667$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.62 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Yes | 5c | 3,594$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,579$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.93 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed Yes | 1c | 3,484$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…9f81backed Yes | 7c | 3,400$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 6c | 3,378$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 4c | 3,317$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…e63cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,206$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…4035backed Yes | 7c | 2,943$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…ffd4backed Yes | 7c | 2,900$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…fccbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,819$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 5c | 2,759$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 4c | 2,684$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,606$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed Yes | 8c | 2,566$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes | 8c | 2,492$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…3e93backed Yes | 7c | 2,476$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…fd88backed Yes | 9c | 2,344$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…e366backed Yes | 9c | 2,337$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…7547backed Yes | 8c | 2,158$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 2,093$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…bd36backed Yes | 8c | 2,008$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 6c | 2,007$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d5c5backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…af03backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 2c | 1,996$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 11c | 1,944$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 7c | 1,933$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…fc8cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,894$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Yes | 6c | 1,776$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 9c | 1,699$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…09f7backed Yes | 7c | 1,638$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44cc…7120backed Yes | 7c | 1,637$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 4c | 1,575$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…a7efbacked Yes | 8c | 1,573$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…3b8cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,531$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 4c | 1,475$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…7fb5backed Yes | 7c | 1,454$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 3c | 1,445$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…aac7backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…8701backed Yes | 7c | 1,336$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Yes | 7c | 1,334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,319$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc031…6f6bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,304$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…e48ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 4c | 1,270$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,215$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Latvia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.