Olympics · resolved market
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbcd46dff2dd487c9f40a5871ce03250eab576d01770cef5e1aada827889757c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,288,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $790,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,288,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Yes | 4c | 252,922$9,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,087.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 122,602$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 63,997$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 1c | 57,030$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…10c9backed Yes | 1c | 42,834$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 1c | 29,690$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.62 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 1c | 29,345$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Yes | 1c | 28,941$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 26,570$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.1 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…d72dbacked Yes | 2c | 22,205$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.09 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 1c | 21,547$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 2c | 20,700$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 14,455$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.76 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…7c61backed Yes | 1c | 12,850$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 1c | 12,446$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 12,394$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.19 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 1c | 12,300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 1c | 11,137$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.67 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 3c | 8,698$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…b521backed Yes | 2c | 8,554$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Yes | 2c | 8,046$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…121bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,905$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…2d6abacked Yes | 2c | 7,903$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 1c | 7,427$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 2c | 6,772$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.72 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…d6a7backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…3736backed Yes | 0c | 5,820$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 3c | 5,689$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,574$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 3c | 5,347$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 2c | 5,022$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 2c | 4,867$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…7fb5backed Yes | 4c | 4,199$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 1c | 4,167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…3e93backed Yes | 1c | 3,941$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 3,435$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked Yes | 3c | 3,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,999$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…fccbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,905$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…85febacked Yes | 2c | 2,847$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 2,820$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 3c | 2,716$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 3c | 2,584$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +89%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,577$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…c2d6backed Yes | 1c | 2,457$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 2c | 2,336$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…d936backed Yes | 3c | 2,308$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0369…76c7backed Yes | 3c | 2,243$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 2,153$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Yes | 2c | 1,957$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…dbf4backed Yes | 3c | 1,861$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…adb9backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 2c | 1,747$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 3c | 1,699$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,579$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 1,508$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf944…ddd5backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…7366backed Yes | 2c | 1,280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…924bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…0a39backed Yes | 2c | 1,241$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 3c | 1,226$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…40fabacked Yes | 2c | 1,164$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 4c | 1,153$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…df31backed Yes | 2c | 1,146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,114$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,036$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 1c | 1,030$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…5c81backed Yes | 4c | 1,029$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…caabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…8c59backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…81a1backed Yes | 2c | 924.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 2c | 858.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…9cfbbacked Yes | 1c | 820.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 644.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…5673backed Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…879dbacked Yes | 2c | 563.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…9ce6backed Yes | 4c | 556.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bd…dc0bbacked Yes | 2c | 492.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 3c | 468.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 4c | 437.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…45e5backed Yes | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…9703backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…a237backed Yes | 4c | 380$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 3c | 357.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Yes | 4c | 302$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ff…8a0cbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…438abacked Yes | 5c | 211.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Latvia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.