TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fb7…3297

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4129.3%12 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$171.23
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 165 and 179 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 150 and 164 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$278.63
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.1%+$93.18
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+39.6%+$95.85
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win between 130 and 139 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+132.3%+$257.78
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,552.28
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,679.12
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+2,225.6%+$669.9
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$152.25
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$72.79
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+111%+$78.86
Will José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$111.13
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50.58
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,640.41
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$2,183.88
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$602.86
Will Semisi Sika be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$78.46
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+257.1%+$129.6
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+484.9%+$77.59
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.16
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.51
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.9
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.96
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.47
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.88
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.78
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.12
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.52
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid-27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+46.5%+$176.92
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$59.4
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$123.06
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$33.67
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$85.78
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$46.92
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$203.81
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.8%+$59.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-74.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.76
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$103.12
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$219
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+117.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+41.2%+$428.66
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$249
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$35.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.